The state of the war on cancer, 2026
Generated from the OnCo corpus: what was approved, what read out, where the roadmaps stand, and what is still unsolved. Every figure below is a count over the objects on this site, so it is auditable and it is incomplete in exactly the ways the corpus is.
Three things defined 2026 in oncology as recorded here. First, antibody-drug conjugates moved from rescue therapy to first choice: two TROP2 ADCs were approved for first-line triple-negative breast cancer, trastuzumab deruxtecan reached early-stage HER2-positive disease, and the first bispecific ADC succeeded in phase 3. Second, immunotherapy grew a new limb: a personalised mRNA vaccine met its phase 3 endpoints in melanoma, an oncolytic virus was approved after an earlier rejection, and a blood test for residual disease decided, for the first time, who receives adjuvant immunotherapy. Third, targeted protein degradation arrived, with the first PROTAC approved for ESR1-mutant breast cancer.
The failures matter as much. TIGIT blockade did not add to PD-1 inhibition; a CD47 antibody was abandoned; a second TOP1-payload ADC given straight after a first works poorly. Pancreatic cancer and glioblastoma remain the deadliest common cancers, though the first pan-RAS inhibitor is in a pivotal trial and tumour treating fields earned the first pancreatic approval in decades.
The corpus at a glance
Approvals recorded in 2026
34 label actions · 10 first-ever approvals| Product | Region | Indication | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Acalabrutinib Calquence | US | Fixed-duration acalabrutinib + venetoclax, previously untreated CLL/SLL without del(17p)/TP53 (AMPLIFY) | |
| ArteraAI Breast | US | Risk stratification in early-stage HR+/HER2- invasive breast cancer | first approval |
| Atezolizumab Tecentriq / Tecentriq Hybreza (SC) | US | Adjuvant muscle-invasive bladder cancer, ctDNA-positive after cystectomy | |
| Belzutifan Welireg | US | Adjuvant clear-cell RCC with pembrolizumab | |
| Camizestrant Etcamah | US | HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer with an emergent ESR1 mutation on AI + CDK4/6, with a CDK4/6 inhibitor (accelerated, 4 Sep 2026) | first approval |
| Capivasertib Truqap | US | PTEN-deficient metastatic prostate cancer with abiraterone | |
| Daratumumab Darzalex / Darzalex Faspro (SC) | US | With teclistamab after ≥1 line (MajesTEC-3); high-risk smouldering myeloma (AQUILA) | |
| Daraxonrasib Rasonque | US | Metastatic pancreatic cancer (previously treated) | first approval |
| Datopotamab deruxtecan Datroway | US | First-line unresectable/metastatic TNBC, PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitor ineligible | |
| Decitabine + cedazuridine (oral) Inqovi | US | Newly diagnosed AML, unfit for intensive induction, with venetoclax (ASCERTAIN-V) | |
| Durvalumab Imfinzi | US | High-risk NMIBC with BCG | |
| Encorafenib Braftovi | US | First-line BRAF V600E mCRC with cetuximab and chemotherapy | |
| Gedatolisib Revtorpyk | US | HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer after CDK4/6 inhibitor (July 2026) | first approval |
| Isatuximab Sarclisa / Sarclisa Escena (SC) | US | Subcutaneous formulation (Sarclisa Escena) | |
| Lutetium-177 vipivotide tetraxetan Pluvicto | US | Label expansion (July 2026) | |
| Nivolumab Opdivo / Opdivo Qvantig (SC) | US | Untreated advanced classical Hodgkin lymphoma with AVD, age ≥12 | |
| Optune / Optune Pax (TTFields) Optune | US | Locally advanced pancreatic cancer with chemotherapy | |
| Palbociclib Ibrance | US | HR+/HER2+ advanced breast cancer maintenance with anti-HER2 and endocrine therapy | |
| Pembrolizumab Keytruda / Keytruda Qlex (SC) | US | Platinum-resistant PD-L1+ ovarian cancer; adjuvant RCC with belzutifan; with sacituzumab govitecan in 1L TNBC | |
| Piflufolastat F-18 / Pylarify TruVu Pylarify | US | Pylarify TruVu formulation | |
| Pivekimab sunirine Decnupaz | US | Blastic plasmacytoid dendritic cell neoplasm | first approval |
| Relacorilant Lifyorli | US | Platinum-resistant ovarian, fallopian tube, or primary peritoneal cancer with nab-paclitaxel | first approval |
| Rusfertide Mimrylo | US | Erythrocytosis in adults with polycythaemia vera | first approval |
| Sacituzumab govitecan Trodelvy | US | First-line metastatic TNBC: monotherapy (PD-1 ineligible) or with pembrolizumab (PD-L1 CPS ≥10) | |
| Selpercatinib Retevmo | US | Label update (July 2026) | |
| Sonrotoclax Beqalzi | US | Relapsed/refractory mantle cell lymphoma after ≥2 lines including a BTK inhibitor (accelerated) | |
| Teclistamab Tecvayli | US | Relapsed/refractory myeloma after ≥1 prior therapy | |
| Tovorafenib Ojemda | EU | Relapsed/refractory paediatric low-grade glioma (conditional) | |
| Trastuzumab deruxtecan Enhertu | US | Early-stage HER2+ breast cancer (neoadjuvant and post-neoadjuvant) | |
| Vepdegestrant Veppanu | US | ESR1-mutated ER+/HER2- advanced or metastatic breast cancer after endocrine therapy | first approval |
| Vusolimogene oderparepvec Tudriqev | US | Unresectable/metastatic melanoma after anti-PD-1, with nivolumab (accelerated) | first approval |
| Zenocutuzumab Bizengri | US | NRG1-fusion cholangiocarcinoma | |
| Zidesamtinib Jideytro | US | ROS1+ NSCLC (July 2026) | first approval |
| Zongertinib Hernexeos | US | First-line HER2-mutant non-squamous NSCLC |
Trials reported in 2026
13 positive- NegativeAMPLIFY-7PPrimary DFS endpoint not met.
- PositiveASCERTAIN-VCR 41.6%; median time to CR 2 months.
- PositiveAZUR-1Primary endpoint (sustained cCR at 12 months) met; rates pending congress presentation.
- PositiveBL-B01D1-307PFS and OS significantly improved at interim analysis (numbers presented ASCO 2026).
- PositiveCLARITY-Gastric 01Co-primary endpoints including OS met (July 2026); numbers pending.
- NegativeDREAM3RStopped early; primary endpoint not met.
- PositiveEMERALD-3PFS HR ~0.70 (interim); OS immature.
- MixedEPCORE DLBCL-1PFS HR 0.74; OS HR 0.96 (NS).
- NegativeFianlimab + cemiplimab phase 3 (first-line melanoma)Primary PFS endpoint not met; numerical +5.1 months median PFS at the high dose.
- PositiveFOURLIGHT-1PFS improved (HR not yet published in detail).
- MixedHARMONi-3Interim PFS not statistically significant (May 2026); final readouts pending.
- PositiveHERIZON-GEA-01PFS 12.4 vs 8.1 months (HR 0.63-0.65); OS significantly improved.
- PositiveINSIGHTPFS favouring ripretinib in the ctDNA-defined subgroup (2026).
- PositiveINTerpath-001 (V940-001)RFS and DMFS significantly improved (HRs pending presentation).
- PositiveKrascendo 1Superior PFS and OS vs approved G12C inhibitors (topline, July 2026).
- NegativeLITESPARK-012Primary endpoint not met (ASCO GU 2026).
- PositiveLITESPARK-022DFS significantly improved vs pembrolizumab (interim; HR presented ASCO GU 2026).
- PositivePANKU-Esophagus01 (BL-B01D1-305)OS and PFS significantly improved at interim analysis; numbers per ASCO 2026 presentation.
- NegativepersevERAPFS 33.1 vs 28.2 months, not significant.
- PositiveRASolute 302OS 13.2 vs 6.7 months, HR 0.40.
- NegativeXPORT-EC-042 / ENGOT-EN20 / GOG-3083Primary PFS endpoint not met; mPFS 12.75 vs 7.43 months (mITT) not significant.
Negative, mixed, and withdrawn
failures are dataWhere the roadmaps stand
- Third generation: TOP1 payloads and bystander killingADC roadmap · 2019-2022
- Third generation matures: earlier lines, more targets, combinationsADC roadmap · 2023-2026
- Screening at scale and risk modelsAI in the oncology clinic · 2022-2024
- First predictive AI and foundation models in productsAI in the oncology clinic · 2025-2026
- Solid tumours: TIL, TCR-T, CAR-TCell therapy roadmap · 2024-2026
- Pivotal trials and first approvalsEarly detection roadmap · 2021-2026
- Earlier lines and combinationsImmunotherapy roadmap · 2018-2024
- Beyond G12CKRAS roadmap · 2023-2026
- Stromal PET and total-body scannersMolecular imaging roadmap · 2018-2026
- Removing every cell, and knowing that you didPaths to cures · Eradication: established
- Living with cancer as a chronic diseasePaths to cures · Control: established
- Ideas already being tested against a control armRadical oncology · Now (randomised data exists)
- PSMA theranosticsRadiopharmaceutical roadmap · 2020-2022
- Earlier lines, consolidation, and an M&A waveRadiopharmaceutical roadmap · 2023-2026
- ADCs move to first line; bispecific ADC succeedsTNBC roadmap · 2024-2026
- Second entrant: datopotamab deruxtecanTROP2 ADC roadmap · 2023-2025
- First line: three positive phase 3 trialsTROP2 ADC roadmap · 2025-2026
- First single-cell foundation modelsVirtual cell roadmap · 2023-2024
- Data at scale and context-aware modelsVirtual cell roadmap · 2025-2026
- Fourth generation, wave 1: bispecific ADCsADC roadmap · 2026-2028
- Fourth generation, wave 2: new payload logicADC roadmap · 2026-2030
- Prospective evidence and regulatory frameworksAI in the oncology clinic · 2026-2028
- Manufacturing revolution: allogeneic and in vivoCell therapy roadmap · 2025-2028
- Decision and integrationEarly detection roadmap · 2026-2030
- Engineered immunity arrivesImmunotherapy roadmap · 2024-2027
- Approval and combinationsKRAS roadmap · 2026-2029
- Drug-target and immune PETMolecular imaging roadmap · 2024-2028
- Vaccinating and monitoring people who do not yet have cancerPaths to cures · Interception: next
- Killing the last cell, wherever it is hidingPaths to cures · Eradication: next
- Steering resistance instead of waiting for itPaths to cures · Control: next
- Living drugs, logic gates, and designed proteins reach decision pointsRadical oncology · By 2027 (early clinical, readouts imminent)
- Radiation and radiopharmaceuticals get a second actRadical oncology · By 2030 (physics and chemistry maturing)
- Monitoring becomes continuous and selection becomes spatialRadical oncology · By 2030 (detection and decision-making)
- Alpha emitters and new targetsRadiopharmaceutical roadmap · 2026-2029
- Next: residual disease, de-escalation, selectionTNBC roadmap · 2026-2029
- Third entrant: sacituzumab tirumotecan and the Merck programmeTROP2 ADC roadmap · 2024-2027
- Unsolved: selection, sequencing, resistanceTROP2 ADC roadmap · 2026-2029
- Patient-derived contexts and spatial nichesVirtual cell roadmap · 2027-2029
Late-stage pipeline
41 products in phase 3 · 36 trials recruiting or activeFrontier technologies
64Open problems, two per cancer
- Acute lymphoblastic leukaemia — Adult ALL outcomes.
- Acute lymphoblastic leukaemia — CD19-negative relapse.
- Acute myeloid leukaemia — TP53-mutant AML remains lethal.
- Acute myeloid leukaemia — Older patients.
- Adrenocortical carcinoma — No targeted therapy despite defined genomic subgroups.
- Adrenocortical carcinoma — Mitotane toxicity and narrow therapeutic window.
- Anal cancer — Screening programmes for high-risk groups exist almost nowhere despite ANCHOR.
- Anal cancer — Late toxicity of pelvic chemoradiation (bowel, sexual, bone).
- Appendiceal cancer and pseudomyxoma peritonei — No effective systemic therapy for high-grade or signet-ring disease.
- Appendiceal cancer and pseudomyxoma peritonei — Selection for CRS-HIPEC and management of recurrence after maximal surgery.
- Basal cell carcinoma — Hedgehog-inhibitor tolerability leads most patients to stop within a year.
- Basal cell carcinoma — Resistance via SMO mutations has no approved next-in-class agent.
- Biliary tract cancer — FGFR inhibitor resistance.
- Biliary tract cancer — Late diagnosis.
- Bladder & urothelial cancer — BCG supply.
- Bladder & urothelial cancer — Bladder preservation strategies.
- Blastic plasmacytoid dendritic cell neoplasm — No randomised trials; sequencing of CD123 agents unknown.
- Blastic plasmacytoid dendritic cell neoplasm — Capillary leak syndrome with tagraxofusp.
- Cancer of unknown primary — Whether finding the primary matters, or only finding the target.
- Cancer of unknown primary — Median survival under a year for unfavourable CUP despite decades of trials.
- Cervical cancer — Vaccine and screening access in LMICs.
- Cervical cancer — Brachytherapy capacity.
- Chronic lymphocytic leukaemia — Double-refractory disease.
- Chronic lymphocytic leukaemia — Richter transformation.
- Chronic myeloid leukaemia — Blast-phase CML: median survival still under a year.
- Chronic myeloid leukaemia — Predicting who can stop TKI safely; second TFR attempts.
- Colorectal cancer — MSS metastatic disease is immunotherapy-resistant.
- Colorectal cancer — Early-onset CRC causes unknown.
- Cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma — Organ-transplant recipients: high incidence, no safe immunotherapy.
- Cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma — Who needs adjuvant therapy: gene-expression tests vs clinicopathologic staging.
- Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma — Primary refractory disease.
- Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma — CAR-T access and cost.
- Endometrial cancer — p53-abnormal disease behaves like serous ovarian.
- Endometrial cancer — Obesity-driven incidence rising.
- Ewing sarcoma — Metastatic-to-bone and relapsed disease: survival under 20-30%.
- Ewing sarcoma — EWSR1-FLI1 remains undrugged after 30 years.
- Follicular lymphoma — Transformation to DLBCL cannot be predicted or prevented.
- Follicular lymphoma — Sequencing bispecifics vs CAR-T.
- Gastric & gastro-oesophageal junction cancer — Peritoneal metastasis.
- Gastric & gastro-oesophageal junction cancer — Heterogeneous CLDN18.2/HER2 expression.
- Gastrointestinal stromal tumour — Polyclonal resistance: different lesions carry different secondary KIT mutations.
- Gastrointestinal stromal tumour — SDH-deficient and other wild-type GIST have no effective TKI.
- Gestational trophoblastic neoplasia — Late diagnosis where hCG surveillance after molar pregnancy is absent (much of the world).
- Gestational trophoblastic neoplasia — Fertility and psychological burden of a pregnancy-related cancer.
- Glioma & glioblastoma — Blood-brain barrier.
- Glioma & glioblastoma — Immunologically cold, heterogeneous, infiltrative.
- Hairy cell leukaemia — Variant HCL and IGHV4-34 disease respond poorly to purine analogues.
- Hairy cell leukaemia — Infection risk during induction neutropenia.
- Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma — Functional toxicity of chemoradiation.
- Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma — Few targets beyond EGFR/PD-1.
- Hepatoblastoma — Metastatic and low-AFP disease.
- Hepatoblastoma — Long-term effects of cisplatin (hearing, kidney) and doxorubicin (heart).
- Hepatocellular carcinoma — Liver function limits therapy.
- Hepatocellular carcinoma — Surveillance uptake in cirrhosis is poor.
- HER2-positive breast cancer — Brain metastases in ~50% of metastatic patients.
- HER2-positive breast cancer — Which patients can skip chemotherapy entirely.
- Hodgkin lymphoma — Late toxicity in survivors.
- Hodgkin lymphoma — Older patients.
- HR-positive / HER2-negative breast cancer — Late recurrence (up to 20+ years) with no predictive test.
- HR-positive / HER2-negative breast cancer — CDK4/6 resistance mechanisms and sequencing.
- Kaposi sarcoma — Access to effective chemotherapy and ART-linked cancer care in sub-Saharan Africa.
- Kaposi sarcoma — KS in people with suppressed HIV and normal CD4 counts (unexplained).
- Mantle cell lymphoma — TP53-mutant and blastoid MCL fail chemo-immunotherapy; need CAR-T or bispecific-based first-line trials.
- Mantle cell lymphoma — MRD-guided treatment duration.
- Medulloblastoma — Group 3 MYC-amplified and SHH TP53-mutant tumours: survival under 50%.
- Medulloblastoma — Relapse is almost always fatal after craniospinal irradiation.
- Melanoma — Primary IO resistance in ~40%.
- Melanoma — Uveal and mucosal subtypes.
- Merkel cell carcinoma — Half of patients do not respond to PD-1 blockade and have no effective second line.
- Merkel cell carcinoma — Immunosuppressed patients: high incidence, poor outcomes, contraindications to immunotherapy.
- Mesothelioma — Sarcomatoid subtype.
- Mesothelioma — No early detection despite known exposure.
- Multiple myeloma — High-risk cytogenetics.
- Multiple myeloma — Infections with T-cell redirecting therapy.
- Myelodysplastic syndromes / neoplasms — No drug has beaten azacitidine in higher-risk MDS.
- Myelodysplastic syndromes / neoplasms — TP53-mutant and complex-karyotype disease: median survival about a year even after transplant.
- Myeloproliferative neoplasms — No disease-modifying therapy in myelofibrosis short of transplant.
- Myeloproliferative neoplasms — MPN in blast phase: outcomes as poor as secondary AML.
- Nasopharyngeal carcinoma — Radiation late effects in a disease cured young.
- Nasopharyngeal carcinoma — Western access to PD-1 inhibitors studied in Asia; regulatory lag.
- Neuroblastoma — Relapsed high-risk disease.
- Neuroblastoma — Long-term toxicity of intensive therapy.
- Neuroendocrine tumours — Neuroendocrine carcinoma (high grade) behaves like SCLC.
- Neuroendocrine tumours — Sequencing of PRRT vs targeted therapy.
- Non-small-cell lung cancer — Resistance to every TKI.
- Non-small-cell lung cancer — Squamous histology has few targets.
- Oesophageal cancer — Late presentation.
- Oesophageal cancer — Squamous cell carcinoma lacks targets beyond EGFR/HER3.
- Osteosarcoma — No survival improvement since the 1980s; metastatic and relapsed disease ~20-30% survival.
- Osteosarcoma — No recurrent druggable driver; genomic chaos.
- Ovarian cancer — No effective screening.
- Ovarian cancer — PARP resistance via BRCA reversion.
- Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma — Late diagnosis; no screening.
- Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma — Dense stroma blocks drug delivery.
- Peripheral T-cell lymphomas — Five-year survival under 40% for PTCL-NOS with no new first-line regimen for non-CD30 disease.
- Peripheral T-cell lymphomas — Randomised evidence for transplant consolidation is lacking.
- Primary CNS lymphoma — Most patients are over 65 and cannot tolerate curative-intent therapy.
- Primary CNS lymphoma — Neurocognitive decline from disease and therapy.
- Prostate cancer — Overdiagnosis vs. underdiagnosis in screening.
- Prostate cancer — Neuroendocrine transformation.
- Renal cell carcinoma — Non-clear-cell histologies understudied.
- Renal cell carcinoma — No validated predictive biomarker for IO.
- Retinoblastoma — Late diagnosis and death in low-income countries; paediatric ophthalmology access.
- Retinoblastoma — Second primary cancers in RB1 carriers across life.
- Rhabdomyosarcoma — Metastatic alveolar RMS: survival <30% for 30 years.
- Rhabdomyosarcoma — PAX3-FOXO1 is an undrugged fusion transcription factor.
- Salivary gland cancers — Adenoid cystic carcinoma: no drug induces meaningful shrinkage; 20-year survival remains poor.
- Salivary gland cancers — Trials are tiny; most evidence is phase 2 or retrospective.
- Sarcomas — Rarity limits trials.
- Sarcomas — Chemoresistance of most subtypes.
- Small-cell lung cancer — Rapid chemoresistance.
- Small-cell lung cancer — Brain metastases.
- Testicular germ cell tumours — Platinum-refractory disease has no effective therapy; checkpoint inhibitors were inactive.
- Testicular germ cell tumours — Late effects of cisplatin (cardiovascular disease, second cancers, hearing loss) in men cured in their 20s.
- Thymoma and thymic carcinoma — No randomised trials have ever been completed in thymic epithelial tumours.
- Thymoma and thymic carcinoma — Immunotherapy safety in a tumour that disturbs central tolerance.
- Thyroid cancer — Overdiagnosis of microcarcinoma.
- Thyroid cancer — Anaplastic thyroid cancer remains lethal.
- Triple-negative breast cancer — Residual disease after KEYNOTE-522: no approved escalation beyond capecitabine/olaparib; ctDNA-guided trials needed.
- Triple-negative breast cancer — ADC sequencing: does a second TOP1-payload ADC work after the first? SATEEN/BRE-354 suggest limited efficacy; chemotherapy interposition debated.
- Uveal melanoma — Half of patients metastasise with no adjuvant therapy despite accurate prediction.
- Uveal melanoma — Tebentafusp only for HLA-A*02:01 (about 45% of white patients, fewer elsewhere) and gives few objective responses despite OS benefit.
- Vulvar cancer — HPV-independent p53-mutant disease recurs often and has no targeted therapy.
- Vulvar cancer — Lichen sclerosus surveillance and prevention of malignant transformation.
- Waldenström macroglobulinaemia — Indefinite BTKi therapy: cost, toxicity and resistance (BTK C481S).
- Waldenström macroglobulinaemia — CXCR4-mutant disease responds slower and shallower.
- Wilms tumour — Diffuse anaplastic and relapsed disease: survival ~50% or lower.
- Wilms tumour — Global inequity: Wilms is curable, yet most children with it worldwide die.
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