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Early Detection & Screening

Early detection and screening means finding cancer before it causes symptoms, when it is most curable.

Population screening (mammography, colonoscopy, low-dose CT, HPV testing, PSA) has proven mortality benefit in several cancers. Blood-based multi-cancer early detection (MCED) and risk-adapted AI screening aim to extend this to cancers with no screening today.

Early Detection & Screening: how this front works · animated schematic, not to scale

Technologies

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Phase 2
Breath and volatile-organic-compound detection

Smelling cancer: measuring the trace chemicals a tumour puts into exhaled breath.

Established
cfDNA fragmentomics

Fragmentomics reads the sizes and positions of DNA fragments in blood, not the mutations. Cancer cells die messily and leave a recognisable fragmentation pattern.

Standard of care
Colorectal cancer screening (colonoscopy, FIT, stool DNA, blood)

Finding and removing polyps before they become cancer. Colonoscopy prevents cancer; stool and blood tests catch it early and get more people screened.

Standard of care
Colposcopy and excisional treatment (LEEP/LLETZ, cone)

Looking at the cervix with a magnifier after a positive screen, then removing the abnormal patch with an electric wire loop in a clinic visit.

Established
Dermoscopy, total-body photography & AI skin analysis

Magnified skin imaging and whole-body photo mapping, increasingly read by algorithms, to find melanoma early and avoid unnecessary biopsies.

Established
DNA methylation profiling

Reading chemical tags on DNA that reveal a cell's identity, used to classify brain tumours and to detect cancer in blood.

Standard of care
Endoscopic resection (EMR / ESD)

Removing very early cancers of the oesophagus or stomach from the inside with an endoscope, so the organ is kept intact.

Standard of care
HCC surveillance in cirrhosis (ultrasound + AFP)

People with cirrhosis or chronic hepatitis B get a liver ultrasound and a blood test every six months so cancer is caught while it is still curable.

Established
High-risk pancreatic surveillance (CAPS / PRECEDE)

Yearly MRI or endoscopic ultrasound for people with inherited risk, which catches pancreatic cancers while they are still operable.

Standard of care
HPV DNA testing and self-sampling

A swab tested for the virus that causes cervical cancer, more accurate than the Pap smear and doable at home.

Standard of care
Low-dose CT lung screening

A yearly low-radiation CT scan for current and former heavy smokers that finds lung cancer early enough to cure it.

Standard of care
Mammography & tomosynthesis

Low-dose breast X-ray used for screening. Newer 3D versions find more cancers with fewer false alarms.

Emerging
Mirai (MIT breast cancer risk from mammograms)

Reads a mammogram to estimate five-year breast cancer risk, consistently across races and devices.

Phase 3
Multi-cancer early detection (MCED)

A single blood test intended to screen for dozens of cancers at once, including ones with no screening today.

Emerging
Sybil (MIT/MGH lung cancer risk from CT)

Predicts a person's six-year lung cancer risk from one low-dose CT, even when no nodule is visible.

Concept
Total-body PET for screening and ultra-low-dose imaging

Scanners sensitive enough to image the whole body in seconds at a fraction of the radiation dose, which raises the question of whether healthy people should be scanned at all.

Established
Whole-body MRI

Whole-body MRI is an MRI of the entire body without radiation, used to find spread in myeloma and to screen people with high inherited cancer risk.

Key papers

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rctLancet Oncology 2023
MASAI: AI-supported mammography screening finds more cancers with half the radiologist workload

AI can take over one reader's work in double-reading screening programmes while finding more cancers. Whether the extra cancers found are ones that would have harmed women, and whether interval cancers fall, is the question the trial's primary endpoint will answer.

observationalThe Lancet 2023
PATHFINDER: the first prospective test of a multi-cancer blood test in people without symptoms

A multi-cancer blood test can be run in ordinary clinics, and most positive results can be resolved with imaging. But six in ten positives are false alarms that take months to resolve, and the test misses most cancers. Whether it reduces late-stage cancer or deaths is unknown; that requires randomised trials.

methodsCancers 2022
NHS-Galleri: design of the largest randomised trial of a multi-cancer blood test

NHS-Galleri is the trial that will decide whether a blood test for many cancers at once should be offered by a health system. Its endpoint is a reduction in late-stage cancer rather than deaths, so even a positive result leaves the mortality question to be settled by longer follow-up.

rctNew England Journal of Medicine 2022
NordICC: inviting people to a screening colonoscopy reduced bowel cancer, but less than expected

A colonoscopy probably does reduce bowel cancer risk for the person who has it, but a programme that offers colonoscopy achieves much less if most people decline. Programmes based on stool tests with high uptake may deliver as much population benefit at lower cost and risk.

observationalScience 2020
DETECT-A: a blood test plus PET-CT found treatable cancers in 10,000 women with no symptoms

A blood test can find early, treatable cancers in people who feel well, including cancers for which no screening exists. It is not a replacement for mammography or colonoscopy but a possible addition. Larger randomised trials are needed to show benefit outweighs harm.

rctNew England Journal of Medicine 2020changed practice
NELSON: volume-based CT screening reduces lung cancer deaths with fewer false alarms

Lung screening works when it uses volumetric nodule management, and it works against a no-screening control. The protocol underpins the UK Targeted Lung Health Check programme and European recommendations. Benefit in women remains less precisely estimated.

meta analysisBMJ 2018changed practice
Self-collected HPV samples are as accurate as clinician samples and reach women who never attend screening

Women can collect their own screening sample at home with no loss of accuracy if the laboratory uses a PCR test. Sending kits directly is the most effective way to reach women who do not attend, which matters because most cervical cancers occur in under-screened women.

basicScience 2015
Martincorena: normal sun-exposed skin is a patchwork of cancer-mutation clones

Carrying a cancer mutation is normal; most mutant clones never become cancer. This means blood or tissue tests that look for driver mutations alone will produce false positives, and that the question of what tips a mutant clone into cancer (tissue environment, further hits, immune surveillance) is as important as the mutation itself.

observationalNew England Journal of Medicine 2014
Jaiswal: clonal haematopoiesis, the pre-leukaemic clones in most people over 70

Many older people carry blood clones one or two steps from leukaemia, and those clones also drive heart disease through inflammation. CHIP is why blood-based cancer tests must filter out mutations from blood cells, and it opens a route to preventing both leukaemia and cardiovascular events in carriers.

rctNew England Journal of Medicine 2011changed practice
NLST: yearly low-dose CT scans cut lung cancer deaths in heavy smokers

For people with a heavy smoking history, an annual low-dose CT scan is one of the few screening tests proven to reduce cancer deaths. Most abnormal scans are not cancer, so screening must be paired with careful nodule management. It does not apply to never-smokers or light smokers.

rctNew England Journal of Medicine 1993changed practice
Minnesota trial: a yearly stool blood test cuts bowel cancer deaths by a third

A cheap home stool test, repeated yearly or every two years and followed by colonoscopy when positive, prevents bowel cancer deaths. This is what national bowel screening programmes do today, with FIT replacing the older guaiac test.

Connected

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technologies

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companies

7

institutions

27

terms

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roadmaps

3

ideas

57
A 28-day national pathway for people with a positive multi-cancer blood testA breath test to rule out cancer in people with vague symptomsA cancer blood test for older people arriving at A&E with unexplained symptomsA live national dashboard of stage at diagnosis as the scorecard for early detectionA mandatory decision aid before any multi-cancer blood testA single 'cancer check at 60' appointment bundling all screening testsA swallowable sponge test for reflux patients, offered in pharmaciesA ten-dollar blood test for the five cancers that kill most people in poorer countriesA ten-year cohort of incidental findings to calibrate follow-up guidelinesA urine DNA test to decide who with blood in the urine needs a camera testA watch-and-wait registry for blood precursor conditions found by chanceActive surveillance as the default for tiny papillary thyroid cancersAfter the COMET trial: surveillance pathways and a new name for low-risk DCISAI clears the normal lung screening scans so radiologists read only the suspicious onesAI malignancy scores to end repeat scans and biopsies for benign lung nodulesAI that spots pancreatic cancer on scans taken a year before diagnosisAn international body to rename indolent lesions so 'cancer' means somethingBlood EBV DNA screening for nasopharyngeal cancer across southern China and Southeast AsiaCancer risk scores running automatically in GP records to prompt urgent referralCheap DNA fragment-pattern blood test as a first sieve before expensive cancer testsCommunity health workers with smartphone AI screen for mouth cancer in South AsiaEvery lung screening visit includes stop-smoking medicine, opt-outEvery routine CT scan checked by AI for early cancer signs, with a tracked follow-up pathwayEvery screening programme must publish its overdiagnosis rate each yearGlucose monitor data as an early pancreatic cancer signalJudge skin cancer AI by the thick melanomas it prevents, not the thin ones it findsLet MCED trials read out on late-stage incidence, with mortality follow-up mandatedLung screening eligibility by risk score, not pack-years, including high-risk never-smokersMake a two-minute mouth cancer check part of every dental visitMandatory interval-cancer audit for every blood-based screening testModern autopsy studies to measure how much silent cancer people carryMRI-first prostate screening with genetic pre-selectionMulti-cancer blood test as the first step for patients with non-specific symptomsNew diabetes after 50 plus weight loss triggers a pancreatic cancer checkOffer the blood test for bowel cancer only to people who refuse stool tests or colonoscopyOpen-source models that translate stage shift into lives saved, for every cancerPersonalised stool-test cut-offs by age, sex and prior resultsPost every woman an HPV self-test kit instead of asking her to book a smearPre-agreed update rules so an MCED test is not obsolete when its trial reads outProstate active surveillance without scheduled biopsies: MRI and blood tests decideRegistry-based randomised MCED trial: a million people, no study visitsReplace six-monthly ultrasound with a blood test for liver cancer in cirrhosisRequire stage-shift or interval-cancer endpoints for AI in cancer screeningRoll out AI-supported mammography nationally as a stepped-wedge trialSend screening invitations with a pre-booked time, not a request to callSet each woman's mammogram interval from her last mammogram, using AI riskSmart scales and health records flag unexplained weight loss for a cancer checkStomach cancer serology screening for high-risk migrant communities in low-incidence countriesStop biopsying small thyroid nodules and never screen the thyroidStop routine endoscopies for non-dysplastic Barrett's oesophagusStop screening by life expectancy, not birthday, with a tool in the recordStop watching stable low-risk pancreatic cysts after five yearsTake lung screening scanners to supermarket car parks in the poorest areasTest whether calling Gleason 6 'not cancer' changes what men chooseUse a polygenic risk score to set when screening startsUse the trend in routine blood counts, not a single threshold, to spot cancerWatch small kidney tumours rather than remove them, with a national registry

bottlenecks

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key papers

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