OnCo
bottlenecksBottleneck

Rare and paediatric cancers without markets

Taken together rare cancers are a fifth of all cancers, but each one alone is too small for a company to invest in.

Rare cancers (incidence below 6 per 100,000 per year in the European definition) together make up about a fifth of all cancer diagnoses and have worse survival than common cancers, yet each individual entity is too small to support a conventional development programme. Sarcomas, paediatric solid tumours, rare haematological malignancies and rare molecular subtypes of common cancers depend on academic cooperative groups, repurposing of adult drugs, and basket trials. Children have historically received new agents a decade after adults; the RACE for Children Act (2020) now obliges sponsors to test molecularly relevant drugs in paediatric populations, and tumour-agnostic approvals (NTRK, RET, BRAF, dMMR) create a route for rare subtypes. Diagnosis is also a bottleneck: pathology expertise for rare entities is concentrated in a few reference centres.

majorbiology43 ideas to fix it
How big the problem is
22%
Share of all cancer diagnoses in Europe that are rare cancers (RARECARE)
47% vs 65%
Five-year relative survival for rare vs common cancers in Europe (RARECARE)
~400,000
Children (0-14) diagnosed with cancer worldwide each year
Root causes
  • Small patient numbers make randomised trials slow or impossible and the commercial return too small to justify development.
  • Paediatric cancers have distinct biology (fusion-driven, low mutational burden) so adult drugs often do not apply.
  • Reference pathology and molecular diagnosis for rare entities is concentrated in a few centres, delaying correct diagnosis.
  • Regulatory precedent requires disease-specific evidence, which rare cancers cannot easily generate.
  • Preclinical models for many rare and paediatric tumours do not exist.
What is already being tried
  • The RACE for Children Act (FDARA 2017, in force 2020) requires paediatric investigation plans for adult oncology drugs directed at relevant molecular targets.
  • Tumour-agnostic approvals (larotrectinib and entrectinib for NTRK fusions, selpercatinib for RET, dabrafenib-trametinib for BRAF V600E) and basket trials such as NCI-MATCH and Pediatric MATCH reach rare subtypes.
  • The Children's Oncology Group, SIOPEN, Euro Ewing and ITCC run international trials that make paediatric randomisation possible.
  • The International Rare Cancers Initiative (Cancer Research UK, NCI, EORTC) designs trials for individual rare cancers.
  • Y-mAbs (naxitamab), Day One (tovorafenib), SpringWorks (nirogacestat) and US WorldMeds (eflornithine) show that small companies can bring rare-cancer drugs to approval.
  • The EU Orphan Regulation and US Orphan Drug Act provide exclusivity, fee waivers and tax credits.
What breaking it looks like
Every rare cancer entity has a reference diagnostic pathway and at least one open trial, children receive new molecularly matched drugs within two years of adult approval, and survival for rare cancers converges with common cancers.

Ideas to fix it

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early clinicalclinicmedium cost
A digital second-opinion network answering community oncologists within 72 hours

Any oncologist could send a difficult case, with the records, to a specialist centre and get a written expert opinion back within three days, free to the patient.

early clinicalclinicmedium cost
A DRUP-style protocol for off-label generic targeted drugs in rare tumours

Cheap generic versions of targeted cancer drugs like imatinib exist, but patients with rare tumours carrying the matching mutation often cannot get them. A structured programme would treat them and collect the evidence.

early clinicalpayermedium cost
A funded expert second opinion for every new high-stakes or rare cancer diagnosis

Anyone diagnosed with a rare or complex cancer gets an automatic remote review by a specialist centre, paid for by the health system, before treatment starts.

speculativephilanthropylarge cost
A non-profit pharmaceutical company for the cancers markets ignore

Build a drug company that does not need profits, modelled on the ones that developed new tuberculosis and sleeping-sickness drugs, to take on rare, paediatric and undruggable cancers.

early clinicalphilanthropymedium cost
A paediatric palliative care team in every childhood cancer unit

Children with cancer, and their families, need symptom relief and support from diagnosis, not only at the end. Every children's cancer unit should have a palliative team, and most in poorer countries have none.

early clinicalregulatorsmall cost
A public rulebook for when an external or synthetic control arm is acceptable

Sometimes a trial cannot randomise, so the new drug is compared with past patients' records. Clear published rules on when that is allowed, and how it must be done, would replace case-by-case guesswork.

being tested at scaleclinicmedium cost
A same-week expert second opinion for every rare cancer diagnosis

Rare cancers are often misdiagnosed, which sends patients down the wrong treatment path. Digital slide sharing could get every case to an expert within days.

speculativeindustrymedium cost
A shared compound library that rare cancer researchers can actually use

Companies hold thousands of well-characterised drugs that could help rare cancers, but each request takes a year of legal negotiation. One standing agreement would unblock it.

speculativeregulatorsmall cost
A standard for tumour-agnostic approvals: minimum histologies and hierarchical modelling

Some drugs are approved for any cancer with a particular mutation. Clear rules on how many cancer types must be tested, and how to combine results across them, would make these approvals more consistent and faster.

speculativeregulatorsmall cost
A standing rulebook for one-patient treatments

Sometimes a treatment must be designed for a single patient. Agreeing in advance what evidence and safety checks are needed would make that fast, fair and learnable.

early clinicalpayermedium cost
A structured registry for every off-label cancer drug use

Doctors often use cancer drugs outside their approved use based on a hunch or a small study. Record what happens every time so the hunches become evidence.

speculativeregulatorsmall cost
Adopt tumour-agnostic cancer drug labels across regions by reliance, not re-review

Some drugs work on a genetic change whatever the cancer. When one regulator approves such a label, others should adopt it rather than demanding trials per cancer type.

speculativepayerlarge cost
Advance market commitments for paediatric and rare cancer drugs

Payers would promise in advance to buy a set number of doses at a set price for any drug that meets a defined bar in a rare or childhood cancer, so companies know the market exists before they invest.

speculativeregulatorsmall cost
Agree in advance how to borrow evidence between similar rare cancers

Statistical methods can combine information across similar rare cancers to reach an answer with fewer patients. Regulators need to say in advance when that is acceptable.

early clinicalresearchmedium cost
An international consortium pooling the outcome of every treated child with cancer

Childhood cancers are rare, so no one country sees enough cases. Pool the treatment and outcome of every child treated anywhere into one governed dataset.

preclinical evidencephilanthropymedium cost
An open model bank for the rare tumours nobody has models for

You cannot study a cancer without a laboratory model of it, and most rare cancers have none. A funded bank that makes and shares models would unlock research.

preclinical evidencephilanthropymedium cost
An open organoid bank for cancers too rare to have models

For many rare cancers there is not a single laboratory model in the world, so no one can test drugs. A shared bank with free distribution would change that.

speculativepolicysmall cost
Automatic offer of shelved cancer assets to non-profits after two years

When a company stops developing a cancer drug for business reasons, the rights and data would automatically be offered to charities and universities on set terms after two years, so promising compounds do not disappear.

speculativeregulatorsmall cost
Automatic reciprocity of orphan and rare-paediatric designations between regulators

A rare cancer drug designated 'orphan' in the US must reapply in Europe, Japan and elsewhere. Recognising each other's decisions would save small companies months.

preclinical evidenceresearchmedium cost
Degraders for the fusion proteins that drive childhood sarcomas

Some sarcomas in children are caused by two genes fused into one abnormal protein. That protein is the whole disease, but no drug binds it. Destroying it instead of blocking it could work.

speculativeregulatormedium cost
Develop drugs in children first when the target is a children's target

Children wait years for drugs because adult trials come first, even when the target belongs to a childhood cancer. Some drugs should start with children.

speculativeregulatorsmall cost
Escrow a share of adult revenue until the paediatric study is done

Companies often delay the childhood cancer studies they are required to do. A slice of the adult drug's revenue would be held back until the paediatric trial is completed.

early clinicalpayermedium cost
Every tumour genomic report machine-readable and deposited nationally

Genetic test results for tumours are mostly PDFs. Require labs to also send a computer-readable version to a national store, so variants can be linked to what treatments worked.

early clinicalresearchmedium cost
Group trials by broken mechanism, not by organ or single mutation

Rare cancers often share a broken cellular machine even when they arise in different organs. Grouping patients by that shared fault makes trials possible.

being tested at scalephilanthropylarge cost
Guaranteed-quality childhood cancer medicines free of charge in 50 countries

Most children with cancer in rich countries are cured; most in poor countries are not, often because cheap drugs are missing. A global platform now ships quality drugs free; scaling it to 50 countries would be one of the highest-value cancer interventions available.

early clinicalindustrymedium cost
Just-in-time site activation: open a site in two weeks when a patient appears

Instead of opening a trial at fifty hospitals and waiting for patients, keep a network of pre-vetted clinics ready and switch a trial on where a matching patient is found.

early clinicalregulatorsmall cost
Let adolescents from age 12 into adult trials when the cancer biology is the same

Teenagers with cancers that are really adult cancers, like melanoma or sarcoma, are barred from adult trials by an age line at 18. Letting them in from age 12, where biology and dosing allow, would give them access years earlier.

being tested at scalepatientsmedium cost
Let patients themselves donate their records and samples for ultra-rare cancers

For very rare cancers, patients are scattered across countries. Patient-driven projects can gather records, saliva and tumour samples by post and share the data openly.

being tested at scaledatalarge cost
Link every national cancer registry to tumour genomics

Join the national list of who got cancer to the genetic profile of each tumour, so we can see for the whole population which mutations matter and which drugs work for them.

speculativeregulatormedium cost
Make paediatric combination studies part of every relevant adult cancer drug approval

Children's cancers are treated with combinations, but companies study new drugs in children one at a time. Approvals should require the combination study children actually need.

being tested at scalepolicysmall cost
Mandatory national virtual tumour boards for rare and complex cancers

A patient with a rare cancer treated at a small hospital should have their case reviewed by the national experts by video before treatment starts. Make that referral automatic.

early clinicalphilanthropylarge cost
Milestone-based venture philanthropy with royalties recycled into the pipeline

Cancer charities would fund companies to hit specific development milestones, as the cystic fibrosis charity did to create Kalydeco, and take a royalty they reinvest in the next drug.

early clinicalregulatorsmall cost
One global paediatric cancer development plan instead of separate FDA and EMA plans

Companies must agree separate plans for testing new cancer drugs in children with US and European regulators. A single agreed plan would get children access sooner.

early clinicalresearchmedium cost
One global rare cancer network with n-of-1 and Bayesian trial frameworks

Rare cancers are collectively common but each is too rare for normal trials. Link every rare cancer patient worldwide into one network with registries and trial designs built for small numbers.

early clinicalpolicymedium cost
One legal framework for pooling rare cancer data across borders

Rare cancers are too uncommon for any country to learn from alone. Agree one set of rules so records from many countries can be combined.

being tested at scalepolicylarge cost
One standing umbrella trial for all rare cancers in a country

Rare cancers together are a fifth of all cancers, but each is too small for its own trial. One permanent trial with many arms would give all of them a route.

speculativephilanthropylarge cost
Open-source drug discovery to clinical proof of concept for neglected cancers

For cancers too rare or too poor to attract companies, run drug discovery in the open, the way neglected tropical diseases are tackled, and take candidates to first human trials with public money.

speculativepolicylarge cost
Pay a prize for rare cancer drugs instead of hoping for a market

No company can profit from a drug for a cancer that affects a few hundred people. A guaranteed payment for success would change that calculation.

early clinicaldatamedium cost
Randomise inside the registry that already follows every patient

Rare cancer patients are already tracked in registries. Offering randomisation inside the registry makes trials far cheaper and lets almost anyone take part.

early clinicalregulatorsmall cost
Standards for external control arms built from federated real-world data

When a trial has no comparison group, the comparison is sometimes built from old patient records. Set rules for how that is done so the answer is not rigged.

early clinicalclinicmedium cost
Test drugs on the patient's own cancer cells when there is no trial to join

For very rare cancers there is often no genetic clue and no trial. Growing the patient's cells and testing drugs on them directly can suggest what to try.

speculativeclinicsmall cost
The pathology lab triggers a trial referral the day a rare cancer is diagnosed

The pathologist is the first person to know a cancer is rare or has a targetable marker. A rule in the lab system could notify a trial team at that moment, before treatment decisions close the window.

speculativeresearchmedium cost
Trial-in-a-box: a preconfigured protocol kit any hospital can open for a rare cancer

For rare cancers, the patient is often at a hospital that has no trial. A ready-made kit with the protocol, consent forms, database and shipping already set up would let that hospital enrol them within days.

Key papers

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rctThe Lancet 2024changed practice
NETTER-2: lutetium-177 dotatate as first treatment for higher-grade gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumours

Patients newly diagnosed with an advanced grade 2 or 3 neuroendocrine tumour of the gut or pancreas that shows somatostatin receptors on imaging can now receive lutetium dotatate as their first treatment, gaining more than a year of additional disease control and a much higher chance of tumour shrinkage. It does not settle whether radioligand therapy is better than other first-line options such as capecitabine-temozolomide or everolimus, and long-term marrow safety with earlier use needs surveillance.

translationalThe Lancet 2024changed practice
SPEARHEAD-1: afami-cel, the first engineered T-cell receptor therapy approved for a solid tumour, in synovial sarcoma

Afami-cel showed that T cells can be redirected against an intracellular cancer antigen, something CAR-T cannot do, and produced meaningful responses in a rare sarcoma with few options. It opens a path to TCR-T against other shared antigens and neoantigens. Restriction to one HLA type and one antigen, plus complex manufacturing, means it will help a small, defined group.

rctThe Lancet 2024changed practice
SPEARHEAD-1: afamitresgene autoleucel, the first engineered T-cell receptor therapy approved for a solid tumour, in synovial sarcoma

Patients with advanced synovial sarcoma, a rare cancer of young adults with few effective drugs, now have an approved cell therapy that produces responses lasting about a year in a substantial minority, if their tissue type and tumour antigen match. It proves that engineered T cells can work against a solid tumour when a good target is present, which had been elusive. It is not a cure for most, requires specialised centres, and only a minority of patients are eligible.

rctNew England Journal of Medicine 2022changed practice
AGILE: ivosidenib plus azacitidine for newly diagnosed IDH1-mutated AML in patients unfit for intensive chemotherapy

AGILE showed that for the roughly 6-10% of AML patients with an IDH1 mutation, a targeted doublet produces survival in the range of two years, an outcome previously unimaginable in unfit patients. Ivosidenib-azacitidine is approved and is one option alongside venetoclax-azacitidine for these patients. Which regimen, or triplet, is best for IDH1-mutated disease has not been settled by a randomised trial.

rctNew England Journal of Medicine 2012changed practice
COMFORT-I: ruxolitinib, the first JAK inhibitor, versus placebo for myelofibrosis

COMFORT-I turned the 2005 discovery of the JAK2 V617F mutation into the first effective medicine for myelofibrosis, transforming symptom control for a disease with no prior standard. Ruxolitinib is still the reference first-line therapy, with fedratinib, pacritinib and momelotinib as alternatives for cytopenic patients. It does not eliminate the malignant clone or reverse fibrosis in most patients.

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A digital second-opinion network answering community oncologists within 72 hoursA DRUP-style protocol for off-label generic targeted drugs in rare tumoursA funded expert second opinion for every new high-stakes or rare cancer diagnosisA non-profit pharmaceutical company for the cancers markets ignoreA paediatric palliative care team in every childhood cancer unitA public rulebook for when an external or synthetic control arm is acceptableA same-week expert second opinion for every rare cancer diagnosisA shared compound library that rare cancer researchers can actually useA standard for tumour-agnostic approvals: minimum histologies and hierarchical modellingA standing rulebook for one-patient treatmentsA structured registry for every off-label cancer drug useAdopt tumour-agnostic cancer drug labels across regions by reliance, not re-reviewAdvance market commitments for paediatric and rare cancer drugsAgree in advance how to borrow evidence between similar rare cancersAn international consortium pooling the outcome of every treated child with cancerAn open model bank for the rare tumours nobody has models forAn open organoid bank for cancers too rare to have modelsAutomatic offer of shelved cancer assets to non-profits after two yearsAutomatic reciprocity of orphan and rare-paediatric designations between regulatorsDegraders for the fusion proteins that drive childhood sarcomasDevelop drugs in children first when the target is a children's targetEscrow a share of adult revenue until the paediatric study is doneEvery tumour genomic report machine-readable and deposited nationallyExtending sarcoma TCR-T beyond HLA-A*02GD2 CAR-T as consolidation in high-risk neuroblastomaGroup trials by broken mechanism, not by organ or single mutationGuaranteed-quality childhood cancer medicines free of charge in 50 countriesJust-in-time site activation: open a site in two weeks when a patient appearsLet adolescents from age 12 into adult trials when the cancer biology is the sameLet patients themselves donate their records and samples for ultra-rare cancersLink every national cancer registry to tumour genomicsMake paediatric combination studies part of every relevant adult cancer drug approvalMandatory national virtual tumour boards for rare and complex cancersMenin inhibitors for infant KMT2A-rearranged ALLMilestone-based venture philanthropy with royalties recycled into the pipelineOne global paediatric cancer development plan instead of separate FDA and EMA plansOne global rare cancer network with n-of-1 and Bayesian trial frameworksOne legal framework for pooling rare cancer data across bordersOne standing umbrella trial for all rare cancers in a countryOpen-source drug discovery to clinical proof of concept for neglected cancersPay a prize for rare cancer drugs instead of hoping for a marketRandomise inside the registry that already follows every patientStandards for external control arms built from federated real-world dataTest drugs on the patient's own cancer cells when there is no trial to joinThe pathology lab triggers a trial referral the day a rare cancer is diagnosedTrial-in-a-box: a preconfigured protocol kit any hospital can open for a rare cancer

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