OnCo
bottlenecksBottleneck

Funding follows fashion, not burden

Money goes to the cancers and questions that are easy or popular, not the ones that kill most or where a dollar would do most.

Research funding across cancers correlates poorly with burden: breast cancer, leukaemia and prostate cancer receive far more NCI and charity funding per death or per year of life lost than lung, pancreatic, liver, oesophageal, gastric, bladder and uterine cancers, and the pattern is similar in the UK and Europe. Across research types the skew is stronger: metastasis, prevention, implementation, surgery, radiotherapy, supportive care and research in low-income settings are all under-funded relative to their share of deaths or their potential to prevent them, while cell-intrinsic biology and drug discovery are over-represented. The causes are the visibility and advocacy strength of some cancers, peer review that rewards mechanistic novelty, the absence of a burden-weighted portfolio strategy at most funders, and a commercial sector that follows patentability. Transparent portfolio mapping, burden-weighted funding targets, and mission-oriented programmes are the corrective levers.

majorfunding incentives43 ideas to fix it
How big the problem is
Lung, pancreas, liver, oesophagus, stomach, bladder and uterine cancers under-funded; breast, prostate and leukaemia over-funded
Cancers under-funded relative to incidence, mortality and years of life lost in an analysis of NCI, charity and industry funding
~5% (estimate)
Estimated share of cancer research funding directed at metastasis, which causes most deaths
~70%
Share of cancer deaths occurring in low- and middle-income countries, where a small fraction of research is conducted
Root causes
  • Advocacy strength and public visibility differ enormously between cancers.
  • Peer review rewards mechanistic novelty and feasibility over expected health gain.
  • Most funders have no explicit burden- or impact-weighted portfolio strategy.
  • Industry funding follows patentable, high-price opportunities, which excludes prevention, surgery and repurposing.
  • Investigator supply is self-reinforcing: fields with money train the next generation, which applies for more.
What is already being tried
  • The NCI Funded Research Portfolio and the International Cancer Research Partnership (ICRP) publish funding by cancer type and Common Scientific Outline category, making the skew measurable.
  • Cancer Grand Challenges (Cancer Research UK and NCI) funds large teams on defined neglected problems including cachexia, dormancy and early-onset cancers.
  • Cancer Research UK's research strategy prioritises prevention, early detection and cancers of unmet need including lung, pancreatic, oesophageal and brain.
  • The Lancet Oncology Commissions on global cancer surgery and radiotherapy quantified the neglected return on investment in those modalities.
  • The US Cancer Moonshot and ARPA-H fund mission-directed programmes outside conventional peer review.
  • Disease-specific foundations for pancreatic, lung and brain cancers have grown rapidly to correct the advocacy imbalance.
What breaking it looks like
Funders publish burden-weighted portfolio analyses annually, funding per year of life lost varies less than two-fold across the major cancers, and metastasis, prevention, surgery and radiotherapy each receive a share of research funding commensurate with their contribution to deaths and cures.

Ideas to fix it

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speculativepolicylarge cost
A dedicated global financing window for cancer, modelled on the Global Fund

Cancer kills more people in poorer countries than HIV, TB and malaria combined, but has no global fund. A pooled fund for diagnosis, essential medicines and radiotherapy would change what ministries can afford to build.

speculativephilanthropymedium cost
A dedicated programme for cachexia and treatment toxicity research

Wasting and side-effects kill or stop treatment for a large share of patients but attract almost no dedicated funding. This would create a standing programme for them.

speculativepolicylarge cost
A delivery-science moonshot for prevention we already own

Around four in ten cancers are preventable with tools that exist now. This would fund the hard, unglamorous work of getting vaccines, screening and tobacco control to everyone, paid on results.

speculativepolicymedium cost
A fixed share of trial-group funding for getting proven care to patients

Many people never receive treatments already proven to work. Cooperative trial groups would have to spend a tenth of their budget testing how to close that gap.

speculativepolicysmall cost
A formal patient-burden score in grant peer review

Add a scored criterion to grant review that asks how much suffering the proposal addresses and how soon, judged partly by patients, and give it real weight.

speculativepolicylarge cost
A Global Fund for cancer care in low- and middle-income countries

Copy the model that transformed HIV, TB and malaria care: a pooled international fund that pays for radiotherapy machines, pathology labs and essential cancer medicines where there are none.

speculativepolicylarge cost
A guaranteed purchase prize for the first drug against a named hard target

Governments promised in advance to buy vaccines that did not yet exist, and they got made. The same promise could be made for a drug against a target everyone has given up on.

speculativephilanthropylarge cost
A precompetitive consortium for the twenty hardest cancer targets

No single company will spend a decade on a target that might be impossible. A shared, openly published effort across the twenty hardest targets spreads that risk.

speculativedatasmall cost
A public dashboard of research money per death for every cancer

A simple website that shows, every year, how much research money each cancer receives compared with how many people it kills, so the gaps are impossible to ignore.

early clinicalphilanthropylarge cost
A public fund that pays for phase 3 trials of cheap, off-patent drugs against cancer

Old drugs like aspirin, statins and beta-blockers show hints of fighting cancer, but no company will pay to prove it. A dedicated public fund should.

speculativephilanthropysmall cost
A public registry of unanswered clinical questions linked to funding calls

Keep a public list of the questions doctors and patients most need answered but no trial addresses, and tie research funding to it.

early clinicalpolicylarge cost
A public-benefit phase 1 factory that takes academic discoveries into first-in-human trials

Promising academic cancer discoveries stall because nobody funds the expensive step from lab to first human trial. Build a shared public facility that does exactly that step, repeatedly.

speculativepolicylarge cost
A ring-fenced metastasis programme with metastasis-specific endpoints

Metastasis causes about nine in ten cancer deaths but gets a small slice of research money. This would ring-fence a tenth of national cancer research budgets for the biology and trials of spread itself.

speculativepayermedium cost
A social impact bond: investors fund a repurposing trial, payers repay from savings

If a cheap old drug could replace or reduce an expensive cancer treatment, health systems save money. Investors could fund the trial and be repaid from those savings if it works.

speculativepolicylarge cost
A statutory minimum share of public trial money for surgery and radiotherapy

Surgery and radiotherapy cure more people than drugs but get a fraction of trial funding because there is no company sponsor. A rule would guarantee them a fixed share of public trial money.

speculativepayerlarge cost
A survivorship research endowment funded by a levy on curative therapy prices

Tens of millions of people live after cancer with heart damage, infertility and second cancers. A tiny levy on the price of curative treatments would build a permanent fund to study and treat late effects.

speculativepolicymedium cost
A trials fund reserved for older and multimorbid patients

Most people with cancer are over 65, but most trial patients are younger and fitter. A dedicated fund would pay for trials designed for the patients we actually treat.

speculativedatasmall cost
An annual map of high-burden questions that nobody is funding

Mine grant databases and the literature to find cancer types and questions with heavy burden and zero active projects, then publish the list so funders and scientists can go there.

speculativedatasmall cost
An open forecasting tournament on which combination trials will succeed

Ask experts and models to predict, in public, which registered combination trials will meet their endpoint. Track who is right, and use the best forecasters to decide what to fund.

speculativephilanthropylarge cost
Burden-matched funding for trials led in low- and middle-income countries

Seven in ten cancer deaths are in poorer countries, yet almost all trials happen in rich ones. Funders would commit a share of money for trials designed and led where the burden is.

speculativepolicysmall cost
Burden-weighted portfolio targets for every major cancer funder

Funders would publish how their spending compares with deaths and years of life lost per cancer, and commit to shift a fixed share of money each year towards the biggest gaps.

speculativephilanthropylarge cost
Cure-focused prizes: pay for verified long-term cures, not for drugs

Governments and philanthropists commit large payments for whoever achieves a verified jump in ten-year cure rates for a specific cancer, however they do it.

speculativepolicymedium cost
Earmark a fixed share of every national cancer budget for palliative care

Most of the money in cancer goes to treatments that help a few people for a short time, while pain relief for the dying, which is cheap and works, gets almost nothing. Ring-fencing a small fixed share would change that.

early clinicaldatasmall cost
Emulate the trial in real-world data first to decide which trials to run

Before spending millions on a randomised trial, analyse existing patient records as if the trial had already happened. If the answer is obvious or the question is unanswerable, skip or redesign the trial.

speculativephilanthropymedium cost
Forty-eight-hour small grants for bold experiments in neglected cancers

Fast grants for oncology would be a fund that decides within two days on small grants for quick, decisive experiments in cancers or questions that mainstream funders neglect, modelled on the pandemic-era Fast Grants.

early clinicalphilanthropylarge cost
Funders set aside a fixed share of budget for independent replication

Almost no money is spent checking whether important cancer findings hold up. Setting aside a small fixed fraction of every research budget for replication would change that.

speculativeindustrylarge cost
GLP-1 receptor agonists as adjuvant weight-loss therapy in HR-positive breast cancer

Coaching-based weight loss did not clearly cut breast cancer recurrence in BWEL, perhaps because the weight loss was too small. Drugs that produce three times as much weight loss could settle whether weight itself matters.

speculativepolicysmall cost
Judge funding programme officers on burden alignment and trials completed

The people who run funding programmes are judged on money moved and papers produced. Judge them instead on whether their portfolios match the burden of disease and whether the trials they fund finish.

speculativedatasmall cost
Mandatory machine-readable portfolio reporting for all large cancer funders

Every funder that spends more than $50 million a year on cancer research would publish what it funds in a shared, coded database, so gaps and duplication can be seen across the whole system.

early clinicalphilanthropymedium cost
One definitive ketogenic diet trial in glioblastoma, then stop

Patients with brain tumours are sold ketogenic diets on the strength of mouse data and small feasibility studies. A single adequately powered trial with dietitian support would either prove it or let clinicians say clearly that it does not work.

speculativephilanthropylarge cost
Open-source drug discovery to clinical proof of concept for neglected cancers

For cancers too rare or too poor to attract companies, run drug discovery in the open, the way neglected tropical diseases are tackled, and take candidates to first human trials with public money.

speculativephilanthropymedium cost
Partial lottery funding for good proposals in under-funded cancers

Once a proposal in a neglected cancer passes a quality bar, pick winners by lottery instead of by tiny differences in review scores, which mostly reflect fashion.

speculativepolicylarge cost
Pay a prize for rare cancer drugs instead of hoping for a market

No company can profit from a drug for a cancer that affects a few hundred people. A guaranteed payment for success would change that calculation.

speculativepolicysmall cost
Publish per-patient trial cost benchmarks and target halving them

Nobody knows what a cancer trial should cost because budgets are secret. Publishing anonymised cost per patient by trial type would expose waste and let funders set targets.

speculativepolicymedium cost
Put the essential palliative care package into every universal health coverage benefit list

The Lancet Commission defined a cheap basic package of drugs, equipment and staff for palliative care. Countries expanding health coverage should include it as a guaranteed benefit.

early clinicalresearchmedium cost
Randomised trials of how to spread proven cancer treatments, not just what works

Fund proper trials of the methods used to get new evidence into practice (training, reminders, feedback, incentives), measured by whether patients actually receive the better treatment.

speculativepolicysmall cost
Ring-fence a fifth of national cancer research money for metastasis

Spread causes around nine in ten cancer deaths but receives a small slice of research funding. A funding floor would change what gets studied.

speculativeresearchmedium cost
Set aside 3% of grant budgets to replicate findings before translation

Before spending millions to turn a lab finding into a drug, spend a little to have an independent lab check it is real. Funders would reserve a small slice of money for exactly this.

speculativephilanthropysmall cost
Small grants that pay scientists to write up abandoned projects

Failed projects are not published because nobody has the time. Paying for a few months of writing would recover years of otherwise lost work.

speculativephilanthropymedium cost
Social impact bonds that fund biosimilar switching, repaid from payer savings

Hospitals often lack the staff to switch patients to cheaper equivalent drugs. Private investors could fund the switching teams and be repaid by the health system from the money saved.

speculativeindustrysmall cost
Stop failing trials earlier with pre-registered aggressive futility rules

Many big trials continue for years after the data already show the drug is unlikely to work. Agreeing in advance to stop earlier when the odds look bad would spare patients and free money for better ideas.

speculativephilanthropymedium cost
Ten-year awards for scientists who commit to one hard problem

Give a small number of scientists a decade of guaranteed funding to work on a single hard problem such as dormant cancer cells, with no pressure to publish quickly.

speculativeresearchlarge cost
Treat brain metastases as a disease with its own trials programme

A fifth of patients with solid tumours develop brain metastases and are usually excluded from trials. This would fund a programme that studies and treats them as a disease in their own right.

What relieves it today

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Key papers

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Connected

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cancers

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fronts

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technologies

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institutions

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trials

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ideas

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A dedicated global financing window for cancer, modelled on the Global FundA dedicated programme for cachexia and treatment toxicity researchA delivery-science moonshot for prevention we already ownA fixed share of trial-group funding for getting proven care to patientsA formal patient-burden score in grant peer reviewA Global Fund for cancer care in low- and middle-income countriesA guaranteed purchase prize for the first drug against a named hard targetA precompetitive consortium for the twenty hardest cancer targetsA public dashboard of research money per death for every cancerA public fund that pays for phase 3 trials of cheap, off-patent drugs against cancerA public registry of unanswered clinical questions linked to funding callsA public-benefit phase 1 factory that takes academic discoveries into first-in-human trialsA ring-fenced metastasis programme with metastasis-specific endpointsA social impact bond: investors fund a repurposing trial, payers repay from savingsA statutory minimum share of public trial money for surgery and radiotherapyA survivorship research endowment funded by a levy on curative therapy pricesA trials fund reserved for older and multimorbid patientsAn annual map of high-burden questions that nobody is fundingAn open forecasting tournament on which combination trials will succeedBurden-matched funding for trials led in low- and middle-income countriesBurden-weighted portfolio targets for every major cancer funderCure-focused prizes: pay for verified long-term cures, not for drugsEarmark a fixed share of every national cancer budget for palliative careEmulate the trial in real-world data first to decide which trials to runForty-eight-hour small grants for bold experiments in neglected cancersFunders set aside a fixed share of budget for independent replicationGLP-1 receptor agonists as adjuvant weight-loss therapy in HR-positive breast cancerJudge funding programme officers on burden alignment and trials completedMandatory machine-readable portfolio reporting for all large cancer fundersOne definitive ketogenic diet trial in glioblastoma, then stopOpen-source drug discovery to clinical proof of concept for neglected cancersPartial lottery funding for good proposals in under-funded cancersPay a prize for rare cancer drugs instead of hoping for a marketPublish per-patient trial cost benchmarks and target halving themPut the essential palliative care package into every universal health coverage benefit listRandomised trials of how to spread proven cancer treatments, not just what worksRing-fence a fifth of national cancer research money for metastasisSet aside 3% of grant budgets to replicate findings before translationSmall grants that pay scientists to write up abandoned projectsSocial impact bonds that fund biosimilar switching, repaid from payer savingsStop failing trials earlier with pre-registered aggressive futility rulesTen-year awards for scientists who commit to one hard problemTreat brain metastases as a disease with its own trials programme

collections

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people

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key papers

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