OnCo
ideasIdea

Set aside 3% of grant budgets to replicate findings before translation

Before spending millions to turn a lab finding into a drug, spend a little to have an independent lab check it is real. Funders would reserve a small slice of money for exactly this.

Funders reserve 3% of research budgets for independent, pre-registered replications of high-impact preclinical findings that are about to receive translational investment (IND-enabling work, company formation, phase 1). Replication is done by contract labs or a network of academic 'replication cores' with blinded protocols agreed with the original authors. The Reproducibility Project: Cancer Biology found that many landmark effects were smaller or absent when repeated; catching this before translation saves far more than it costs.

Hypothesis
Systematic replication before translational investment finds at least 30% of candidate findings non-reproducible or materially weaker, and translational programmes that pass replication reach phase 1 with fewer late-stage preclinical failures than unreplicated ones.
Rationale
The Reproducibility Project: Cancer Biology reproduced effects at roughly half the original magnitude on average; Bayer and Amgen internal replication efforts reported majority failure. Independent verification is standard before major capital deployment in every other industry.
What would test it
Pilot with one translational fund: replicate the key experiment for every asset before IND-enabling money is released, and compare downstream attrition with the fund's historical record.
Maturity
speculative
Who has to act
research
Cost to try
Medium ($1M to $50M)
Years to first evidence
3
Bottlenecks it attacks

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