OnCo
bottlenecksBottleneck

Metastasis is understood least and studied last

Metastasis causes about nine in ten cancer deaths but gets a small fraction of research money and almost no trials of its own.

Most cancer deaths are attributable to metastatic disease, yet the biology of dissemination is studied far less than the biology of the primary tumour, and almost every drug is developed to shrink lesions rather than to stop spread. The steps that let cells leave a primary, survive shear stress and immune attack in circulation, extravasate, adapt to a foreign organ and either grow or lie dormant involve distinct programmes (epithelial-mesenchymal plasticity, pre-metastatic niche formation, organ-specific tropism) that have few validated drug targets and no approved anti-metastatic agent. Preclinical models seldom metastasise in a human-like pattern, regulatory endpoints reward tumour shrinkage rather than prevention of new lesions, and the patients who would benefit most from an anti-metastatic drug (those with resected early disease) are hard to enrol in long trials. Metastasis-directed local therapy and circulating tumour DNA-defined trials are the first designs to treat spread itself as the target.

criticalbiology33 ideas to fix it
How big the problem is
~67% directly; ~90% when metastasis contributed
Share of cancer deaths attributable to metastatic disease (registry-based analysis)
~5% (estimate)
Estimated share of cancer research funding directed at metastasis
~20%
Adults with cancer who develop brain metastases
Root causes
  • Metastatic lesions are rarely biopsied or banked, so their biology is inferred from primaries.
  • Mouse models seldom metastasise spontaneously to human-relevant organs, making anti-metastatic drugs hard to test.
  • Regulatory endpoints (response rate, progression-free survival) reward shrinkage of existing lesions, not prevention of new ones.
  • Adjuvant trials to prevent metastasis require thousands of patients and years of follow-up, which industry avoids.
  • Funding and career incentives favour primary-tumour and cell-intrinsic biology over the multi-organ, systemic biology of spread.
What is already being tried
  • Cancer Grand Challenges (Cancer Research UK and the NCI) funds international teams working on dormancy, metastatic niche biology and the origins of spread.
  • Circulating tumour DNA-guided adjuvant trials (DYNAMIC, CIRCULATE-Japan, IMvigor011) treat molecular evidence of dissemination before it becomes visible metastasis.
  • PSMA-PET-guided metastasis-directed stereotactic radiotherapy is being tested as a curative-intent strategy in oligorecurrent prostate cancer.
  • The Metastasis Research Society and Grand Challenge teams are developing metastasis-competent organoid and mouse models.
  • MSLT-II and related sentinel-node trials define when regional metastasis needs surgery and when it does not.
What breaking it looks like
At least one approved drug is labelled for prevention of metastasis on the basis of a trial whose primary endpoint was new distant lesions, and metastasis receives a share of research funding proportionate to its share of deaths.

Ideas to fix it

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speculativepolicylarge cost
A billion-dollar prize for the first durable cure of a lethal metastatic cancer

Governments and foundations would pledge a very large prize, paid only when a treatment is shown to keep most patients with a currently incurable metastatic cancer alive and disease-free for five years.

speculativeresearchmedium cost
A blood test for the pre-metastatic niche

Before cancer spreads, distant organs are changed to become welcoming. A test for those changes would show which organ is at risk while a person still looks cancer-free.

early clinicalphilanthropylarge cost
A global rapid tissue donation network for metastatic disease

Almost all cancer deaths are caused by spread, yet very little spread tissue is ever studied. A network collecting donated tissue within hours of death would change that.

early clinicalphilanthropymedium cost
A national rapid research autopsy network for end-stage cancer

When patients who agreed in advance die of cancer, sampling every tumour within hours reveals how the disease evolved and escaped every drug. Few hospitals can do this today.

speculativeregulatorsmall cost
A regulatory endpoint for drugs that block spread, not tumours

Today a cancer drug is approved for shrinking tumours. A drug that stopped cancer spreading would fail that test, so almost nobody develops one. A new endpoint would fix that.

speculativepolicylarge cost
A ring-fenced metastasis programme with metastasis-specific endpoints

Metastasis causes about nine in ten cancer deaths but gets a small slice of research money. This would ring-fence a tenth of national cancer research budgets for the biology and trials of spread itself.

early clinicalresearchlarge cost
A standard platform to get drugs into the brain: focused ultrasound plus shuttle-engineered therapeutics

Most cancer drugs cannot cross into the brain. Combine ultrasound that briefly opens the barrier with drugs engineered to be carried across, and make this a standard platform for every brain tumour and brain metastasis.

early clinicalresearchmedium cost
A test to tell true oligometastatic disease from hidden widespread spread

Some people have only a few spots of spread and can be cured by treating each one. Others have many spots not yet visible. A test to tell them apart would spare futile treatment and find curable patients.

speculativedatamedium cost
An organotropism atlas that predicts where a cancer will spread

Different cancers favour different organs, and so do different patients. A model that predicts which organ is at risk could target surveillance and prevention.

preclinical evidenceresearchmedium cost
Blunt the inflammation that wakes sleeping cancer cells

Inflammation from infection, injury or surgery can wake dormant cancer cells. Blocking one key inflammatory signal might keep them asleep.

preclinical evidenceresearchmedium cost
Break the neutrophil DNA nets that catch tumour cells after surgery

Surgery makes some immune cells throw out sticky DNA webs that trap travelling cancer cells and help them settle. Dissolving those webs during the operation might prevent some relapses.

speculativeengineeringmedium cost
Build laboratory models of the organs cancer spreads to

Cancer usually kills by spreading to bone, liver, lung or brain. Almost all laboratory models grow tumours under the skin instead, where the surroundings are nothing like those organs.

early clinicalclinicmedium cost
Cheap perioperative beta-blocker plus anti-inflammatory to blunt surgical stress

The stress of an operation may help stray cancer cells survive and settle. A few days of two cheap old drugs around surgery might reduce that risk.

early clinicalindustrymedium cost
Circulating tumour cell clearance as the phase 2 gate for anti-metastatic drugs

Cancer cells travelling in the blood can be counted. If a drug clears them, that is an early sign it may stop spread, and it reads out in weeks rather than years.

early clinicalclinicmedium cost
Deliver CAR-T cells straight into the fluid around the brain

Cancer spreading along the linings of the brain is almost untreatable. Injecting engineered immune cells directly into the brain fluid, through a small reservoir, reaches it.

preclinical evidenceresearchlarge cost
Eradicate dormant cancer cells: a programme to wake and kill or lock asleep disseminated cells

Many relapses come from cancer cells that hid dormant for years. Find drugs that either force them awake so chemotherapy kills them, or keep them asleep for life.

preclinical evidenceresearchmedium cost
Flush dormant cells out of bone marrow, then kill them

Sleeping cancer cells hide in bone marrow where drugs cannot reach them. Pushing them into the bloodstream on purpose, then treating, might clear them.

preclinical evidenceresearchmedium cost
Grow blood-borne tumour cells to test drugs on the cells that actually spread

Drug tests normally use cells from the original tumour. Growing the rarer cells found in blood would test drugs against the cells that are actually travelling.

preclinical evidenceresearchmedium cost
Inhaled immune therapy to make the lung hostile to arriving tumour cells

Breathing in an immune-activating drug could turn the lungs into bad soil for cancer seeds, at doses far too low to cause body-wide side-effects.

preclinical evidenceresearchmedium cost
Keep dormant cells asleep instead of trying to kill them

If we cannot kill sleeping cancer cells, we could try to keep them asleep for life. That would turn residual cancer into a harmless passenger.

preclinical evidenceresearchsmall cost
Make in vivo metastasis screens a required step in drug discovery

Drug candidates are tested for shrinking tumours, almost never for stopping spread. A standard spread test would find anti-metastatic drugs we are throwing away.

speculativedatasmall cost
Match each blood-detected clone to the lesion it comes from on the scan

Blood tests tell you which tumour sub-populations are growing; scans tell you which lesions are growing. Joining the two would tell you where to biopsy or irradiate.

speculativeregulatorlarge cost
Metastasis prevention as a formal indication with its own trials and regulatory pathway

Metastasis causes most cancer deaths, yet no drug is developed to stop cells spreading. Create a formal approval route for drugs that prevent metastasis, tested in people at high risk of it.

early clinicalresearchmedium cost
Perioperative beta-blocker plus COX-2 inhibitor to reduce metastasis after surgery

Surgery stress may help hidden cancer cells spread. A five-day course of two cheap old drugs around the operation might block that, and small trials look promising.

speculativeindustrylarge cost
Prevention trials aimed only at brain metastasis

Some cancers reach the brain in up to a quarter of patients. Prevention trials could aim specifically at stopping that, instead of treating it once it has happened.

preclinical evidenceresearchmedium cost
Reprogramme the liver's own immune cells to refuse metastases

The liver is where bowel cancer most often spreads. Drugs delivered straight into the liver's blood supply could retrain its resident immune cells to reject arriving cancer cells.

speculativepolicysmall cost
Ring-fence a fifth of national cancer research money for metastasis

Spread causes around nine in ten cancer deaths but receives a small slice of research funding. A funding floor would change what gets studied.

preclinical evidenceresearchmedium cost
Soften the tissue that new metastases need in order to grow

Cancer cells need stiff, cross-linked tissue scaffolding to settle and grow in a new organ. Blocking the enzymes that build it may stop new colonies taking hold.

early clinicalresearchmedium cost
Strip the platelet coat off travelling tumour cells in ctDNA-positive patients

Cancer cells in the blood wrap themselves in platelets as camouflage. Aspirin may remove that cloak, and it is cheapest to test in the patients at highest risk of relapse.

speculativephilanthropymedium cost
Ten-year awards for scientists who commit to one hard problem

Give a small number of scientists a decade of guaranteed funding to work on a single hard problem such as dormant cancer cells, with no pressure to publish quickly.

early clinicalclinicmedium cost
Treat the body cavity, not the bloodstream, for surface spread

Intracavitary immunotherapy targets cancer that coats the lining of the abdomen or chest, which drugs given by drip barely reach. Delivering it straight into the cavity gives far higher local doses.

early clinicalclinicmedium cost
Treat the draining lymph node before removing it

The first lymph node cancer reaches is also where the immune system learns to fight it. Injecting immunotherapy into that node before surgery, instead of removing it blindly, may work better.

early clinicalclinicmedium cost
When the blood test is positive, hunt for the lesion with sensitive imaging

A positive blood test tells you cancer is back but not where. Combining whole-body MRI with modern PET tracers may find a single spot that can be zapped.

Key papers

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A billion-dollar prize for the first durable cure of a lethal metastatic cancerA blood test for the pre-metastatic nicheA global rapid tissue donation network for metastatic diseaseA national rapid research autopsy network for end-stage cancerA regulatory endpoint for drugs that block spread, not tumoursA ring-fenced metastasis programme with metastasis-specific endpointsA standard platform to get drugs into the brain: focused ultrasound plus shuttle-engineered therapeuticsA test to tell true oligometastatic disease from hidden widespread spreadAn organotropism atlas that predicts where a cancer will spreadBlunt the inflammation that wakes sleeping cancer cellsBreak the neutrophil DNA nets that catch tumour cells after surgeryBuild laboratory models of the organs cancer spreads toCheap perioperative beta-blocker plus anti-inflammatory to blunt surgical stressCirculating tumour cell clearance as the phase 2 gate for anti-metastatic drugsctDNA-guided adjuvant therapy as the default in stage II-III colon cancerDeliver CAR-T cells straight into the fluid around the brainEradicate dormant cancer cells: a programme to wake and kill or lock asleep disseminated cellsFlush dormant cells out of bone marrow, then kill themGrow blood-borne tumour cells to test drugs on the cells that actually spreadInhaled immune therapy to make the lung hostile to arriving tumour cellsKeep dormant cells asleep instead of trying to kill themMake in vivo metastasis screens a required step in drug discoveryMatch each blood-detected clone to the lesion it comes from on the scanMetastasis prevention as a formal indication with its own trials and regulatory pathwayPerioperative beta-blocker plus COX-2 inhibitor to reduce metastasis after surgeryPeritoneal-directed therapy for gastric cancerPrevention trials aimed only at brain metastasisPSMA-PET-guided metastasis-directed therapy as a curative strategy in oligorecurrent prostate cancerReprogramme the liver's own immune cells to refuse metastasesRing-fence a fifth of national cancer research money for metastasisSoften the tissue that new metastases need in order to growStrip the platelet coat off travelling tumour cells in ctDNA-positive patientsTen-year awards for scientists who commit to one hard problemTreat the body cavity, not the bloodstream, for surface spreadTreat the draining lymph node before removing itWhen the blood test is positive, hunt for the lesion with sensitive imaging

key papers

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