OnCo
ideasIdea

ctDNA-guided adjuvant therapy as the default in stage II-III colon cancer

Use a blood test after surgery to decide who gets chemotherapy: spare the negatives, and find something that actually works for the positives.

DYNAMIC showed ctDNA-negative stage II patients can safely skip chemotherapy. ALTAIR showed that treating ctDNA-positive patients with late-line trifluridine/tipiracil does not help; escalation needs better agents (oxaliplatin-based, immunotherapy for dMMR, or targeted therapy by clone).

Hypothesis
A ctDNA-directed strategy (omit in negatives; escalate positives with FOLFOX ± a biology-matched agent) yields non-inferior 3-year DFS with half the chemotherapy exposure across stage II-III.
Rationale
Post-operative ctDNA has a hazard ratio for recurrence near 10 and outperforms every clinicopathologic feature.
What would test it
CIRCULATE-US / NRG-GI005 (COBRA) style randomised platform with pre-specified escalation arms; DFS primary endpoint.
Maturity
being tested at scale

Key papers

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