Progression-free survival (PFS)
Progression-free survival (PFS) is how long patients live without their cancer growing.
Time from randomisation to progression or death. Common primary endpoint because it needs fewer patients and less time than OS; may not translate to OS benefit (e.g., TROPION-Breast01). PFS2 measures progression on the next therapy.
AMPLIFY delivered the first all-oral, fixed-duration doublet for front-line CLL and supported its approval, giving fit patients a way to avoid both chemotherapy and years of continuous BTK inhibitor. It does not settle whether a doublet or triplet is best, or how AV compares with venetoclax-obinutuzumab. Patients with TP53 aberration were excluded and still need different strategies.
Patients with newly diagnosed metastatic colorectal cancer whose tumour carries a BRAF V600E mutation, which is about 8-12% of cases, should now be offered encorafenib and cetuximab together with FOLFOX from the start rather than after chemotherapy fails; median survival has roughly doubled to about two and a half years. BRAF testing at diagnosis is therefore essential, alongside RAS and mismatch repair testing. The regimen is more toxic than chemotherapy alone.
CEPHEUS extends the quadruplet standard to patients who are not going to transplant, closing the gap between transplant-eligible and ineligible populations. It is also one of the first phase 3 trials to be designed around MRD-negativity as the primary endpoint, which could shorten future myeloma trials by years. Frailer patients still need dose-adapted approaches.
For the first time a new drug has beaten pembrolizumab, the global first-line standard, in a randomised lung cancer trial, and it did so by combining checkpoint blockade with anti-angiogenesis in one molecule. For patients outside China nothing changes yet: the drug is not approved in the West, the trial was single-country, and survival benefit has not been shown. If confirmed in the global HARMONi-3 and HARMONi-7 trials, PD-1 x VEGF bispecifics could replace PD-1 antibodies as the immunotherapy backbone.
Patients with limited-stage small-cell lung cancer who complete chemoradiotherapy without progression should now be offered up to two years of durvalumab consolidation, which extends life by almost two years on average. This is the first survival improvement for limited-stage disease since twice-daily radiotherapy and prophylactic cranial irradiation, and small-cell lung cancer is no longer a disease where immunotherapy gives only marginal gains.
Patients with hormone-receptor-positive metastatic breast cancer that has stopped responding to endocrine therapy can be offered trastuzumab deruxtecan as their first chemotherapy-type treatment if the tumour shows any HER2 staining, rather than waiting until after conventional chemotherapy. Whether to use it before or after chemotherapy is now a choice, since overall survival was not shown to differ and the drug carries a risk of lung inflammation.
Almost every patient newly diagnosed with advanced bladder or urothelial cancer should now be offered enfortumab vedotin plus pembrolizumab rather than chemotherapy, with median survival extended from about 16 months to over two and a half years. Neuropathy and skin toxicity need monitoring and dose adjustment, and patients with severe diabetes or pre-existing neuropathy need care. Platinum chemotherapy remains an option for those who cannot receive the combination.
Women with locally advanced cervical cancer that is node-positive or stage III-IVA should now be offered pembrolizumab alongside and after chemoradiotherapy, which improves the chance of cure. The result matters most in countries where cervical cancer is common but immunotherapy access is poorest, so its global impact depends on pricing and health-system capacity. It does not apply to early-stage disease treated with surgery or to lower-risk locally advanced disease without nodal involvement.
Patients newly diagnosed with EGFR-mutated advanced lung cancer now have a first-line option that improves survival over osimertinib, particularly if they have high-risk features. The trade-off is intravenous (now subcutaneous) infusions and considerably more skin, nail and clotting toxicity, so osimertinib alone remains reasonable for those who prioritise convenience and tolerability. Both this regimen and osimertinib plus chemotherapy (FLAURA2) are approved; there is no direct comparison.
Patients newly diagnosed with an advanced grade 2 or 3 neuroendocrine tumour of the gut or pancreas that shows somatostatin receptors on imaging can now receive lutetium dotatate as their first treatment, gaining more than a year of additional disease control and a much higher chance of tumour shrinkage. It does not settle whether radioligand therapy is better than other first-line options such as capecitabine-temozolomide or everolimus, and long-term marrow safety with earlier use needs surveillance.
PERSEUS, with the earlier GRIFFIN and CASSIOPEIA trials, made a four-drug daratumumab quadruplet the standard for fit patients heading to transplant. It also introduced MRD-directed stopping of the antibody, a step towards treatment that is deep but not indefinite. Whether transplant itself remains necessary on top of a quadruplet is now the open question.
S1826 moved checkpoint blockade into first-line Hodgkin lymphoma and made N-AVD a preferred regimen for advanced disease in patients from adolescence to older age, while removing radiotherapy for most. It also showed the value of a single trial spanning paediatric and adult groups. Longer follow-up is needed for overall survival and late immune effects in young patients.
For hormone-receptor-positive metastatic breast cancer that has already had chemotherapy, Dato-DXd controls the disease for longer with fewer severe side effects than chemotherapy, but does not help patients live longer, so it is not a standard option here. The result is a reminder that progression-free survival is a surrogate; regulators and clinicians should wait for survival data before adopting an ADC in a setting where later therapies are effective.
CARTITUDE-4 is the first randomised trial to show that a CAR-T improves survival in myeloma, and it moved cilta-cel into second-line use (FDA approval 2024). For patients whose disease returns after first-line lenalidomide, a one-off cell therapy now competes with continuous drug combinations. Capacity, cost and the need for bridging therapy still limit who actually receives it.
Patients with KRAS G12C lung cancer that has progressed after chemo-immunotherapy can take an oral KRAS inhibitor instead of docetaxel and gain a somewhat longer time to progression with fewer severe side effects, but should understand that most tumours become resistant within a year and that survival is not improved. KRAS G12C testing is worthwhile, but first-generation inhibitors are a step rather than a cure; combinations and next-generation inhibitors are the active research fronts.
Patients with metastatic colorectal cancer carrying a KRAS G12C mutation (about 3-4% of cases) who have exhausted standard chemotherapy now have a targeted option that works far better than trifluridine-tipiracil or regorafenib. The higher sotorasib dose is clearly superior, and the EGFR antibody is essential because KRAS inhibition alone barely works in bowel cancer. Responses are still modest and short-lived compared with EGFR or ALK inhibitors in lung cancer.
Young adults with a grade 2 IDH-mutant glioma who have had surgery can now take a daily tablet that slows or reverses tumour growth and defers radiotherapy and chemotherapy, both of which carry long-term cognitive costs, by years. It confirms that the IDH mutation is a driver that can be targeted, not just a marker. Whether it improves survival or cognition over the long term, and whether it helps in higher-grade or previously treated tumours, is unknown.
KarMMa-3 was the first randomised evidence that CAR-T beats conventional drugs in myeloma and led to ide-cel's approval after two prior lines. It confirmed that earlier use of CAR-T produces deeper and longer remissions than in the end-stage setting. Because responses are shorter than with cilta-cel and OS was not improved, it also sharpened debate about which BCMA CAR-T to use and when.
For fit patients with newly diagnosed metastatic pancreatic cancer, a FOLFIRINOX-type regimen is now proven to be better than gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel, settling a long-standing debate. The absolute gain is about two months of median survival, and the regimen is more toxic for the gut. Whether liposomal irinotecan adds anything over conventional irinotecan (standard FOLFIRINOX) has never been tested head-to-head.
Women with newly diagnosed advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer should receive a PD-1 antibody (dostarlimab or pembrolizumab) with their chemotherapy, and mismatch repair testing is now essential because women with dMMR tumours gain a very large and durable benefit. The gain in mismatch-repair-proficient tumours is real but smaller, and molecular classification (POLE, p53, MMR) is increasingly used to decide who benefits most.
Patients with newly diagnosed advanced stomach cancer should now have Claudin 18.2 tested alongside HER2, PD-L1 and mismatch repair, because roughly a third will be eligible for zolbetuximab, which adds about three months of median survival. The main practical problem is nausea and vomiting during infusions, which needs aggressive prophylaxis. How to sequence or combine it with immunotherapy in PD-L1-positive tumours is unresolved.
For HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer that has progressed after trastuzumab and a taxane, trastuzumab deruxtecan is now the standard second-line treatment and T-DM1 has moved later in the sequence. The benefit is large enough that ADC design, not just the target, is understood to be what matters. Patients need lung monitoring because of the risk of pneumonitis.
Patients whose breast cancer was previously called HER2-negative may now be eligible for an effective HER2-directed drug if their tumour has even low-level HER2 staining, so pathology reports must now distinguish HER2-low (1+ or 2+/ISH-negative) from HER2-zero. This applies to metastatic disease after at least one line of chemotherapy; it does not mean these patients benefit from trastuzumab or other older HER2 drugs.
POLARIX gave the first new first-line standard for DLBCL since rituximab was added to CHOP, and pola-R-CHP is now approved and widely used, especially in higher-risk or ABC-type disease. The gain is modest and survival is unchanged, so many clinicians still use R-CHOP in lower-risk or GCB-type patients. Cost and subgroup uncertainty drive ongoing debate.
Patients with newly diagnosed advanced melanoma have a dual-checkpoint option that improves on nivolumab alone with only a modest increase in serious side effects, making it attractive for those unable to tolerate or unwilling to risk the toxicity of ipilimumab. It did not prove superior survival, and it has not been compared with nivolumab plus ipilimumab, which remains preferred for patients with brain metastases or other high-risk features. LAG-3 is now an established target under study in many other cancers.
This trial supplied the randomised proof that was missing for TIL therapy and showed academic centres can run cell-therapy phase 3 trials without industry. It supports TIL as a standard option after checkpoint inhibitor failure in melanoma and underpinned reimbursement in the Netherlands. The comparator, ipilimumab, is itself only modestly effective in this setting, and overall survival did not differ significantly.
Sacituzumab govitecan is a standard second-line or later treatment for metastatic triple-negative breast cancer, roughly doubling survival compared with the chemotherapies it was tested against. Patients should expect neutropenia and diarrhoea, which are manageable with growth factor support and loperamide. Trials are now testing it earlier, in first-line combinations with pembrolizumab and after surgery for residual disease.
Patients with newly diagnosed advanced stomach or oesophageal adenocarcinoma whose tumour is HER2-negative and PD-L1 positive (CPS 5 or more, or at least 1 in some regions) should receive chemotherapy with nivolumab (or pembrolizumab, from KEYNOTE-859), which adds about three months of median survival and doubles the chance of being alive at three years. The benefit in PD-L1-negative tumours is doubtful, and these patients may be better served by chemotherapy alone or by trials.
Patients with newly diagnosed advanced clear-cell kidney cancer should receive an immunotherapy-based combination; lenvatinib plus pembrolizumab gives the highest response rate and longest PFS of the available options, at the cost of more side effects requiring dose adjustment. Sunitinib alone is no longer an appropriate standard. Choosing among the combinations depends on risk group, symptoms, comorbidity and the value placed on treatment-free survival, which favours nivolumab plus ipilimumab in intermediate and poor risk.
Men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer that has progressed after hormonal therapy and chemotherapy, and whose tumours show PSMA on a PET scan, can now receive lutetium-PSMA, which extends life, controls pain and is usually better tolerated than further chemotherapy. It has established a new treatment class in which a scan decides who gets the matching radioactive drug, and it is now being tested earlier in the disease (PSMAfore, PSMAddition).
For ALK-positive advanced lung cancer, lorlatinib as the first drug offers the possibility of many years without progression and strong protection against brain metastases. Alectinib and brigatinib remain alternatives with a gentler side-effect profile; the choice weighs lorlatinib's cognitive, metabolic and weight effects against its unmatched duration of control.
ELEVATE-TN put a more selective BTK inhibitor into first-line CLL and, with the head-to-head ELEVATE-RR trial, showed it is as effective as ibrutinib with fewer cardiac side effects. Continuous acalabrutinib became one of the two main front-line options alongside fixed-duration venetoclax combinations. The trade-off is indefinite therapy and cost versus a time-limited course.
Patients with advanced liver cancer and good liver function should be offered atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (or durvalumab plus tremelimumab) rather than sorafenib as first treatment; median survival is now around 19 months and about a quarter of patients respond. Endoscopy to treat varices before starting bevacizumab is essential because of bleeding risk. Patients with poorer liver function (Child-Pugh B) or autoimmune disease or transplants were not studied.
Every colorectal cancer should be tested for mismatch repair deficiency, because patients whose metastatic tumour is dMMR should receive pembrolizumab rather than chemotherapy as first treatment, gaining a much better chance of durable remission with fewer side effects. About a third of dMMR tumours do not respond initially, so early scans are essential and chemotherapy remains available. The trial does not apply to the 95% of colorectal cancers that are mismatch-repair proficient.
CLL14 established the first chemotherapy-free, fixed-duration regimen for front-line CLL and made MRD-guided thinking mainstream in the disease. Patients get a year of treatment and then a treatment-free period rather than indefinite therapy. The choice today is between fixed-duration venetoclax combinations and continuous BTK inhibitors, with no proven survival difference.
Patients with head and neck squamous cell cancer that has recurred or spread should be treated first with pembrolizumab: alone if their tumour is strongly PD-L1 positive and they can wait for a slower response, or with chemotherapy if the tumour is bulky or PD-L1 low. Cetuximab-based chemotherapy is no longer the default. Long-term follow-up shows a small but real group of patients alive at four to five years, which was almost unheard of before.
MAIA made a daratumumab-based triplet the standard first treatment for older or frail myeloma patients, replacing Rd alone. It proved an anti-CD38 antibody could improve survival, not just delay progression, when used up front. Quadruplets built on this backbone are now being tested in the same population.
Women with newly diagnosed advanced ovarian cancer should have their tumour tested for BRCA mutations and homologous recombination deficiency, because those who are HRD-positive gain years of additional disease control and better survival from adding olaparib to bevacizumab maintenance. Those who are HRD-negative gain nothing from olaparib in this combination and should not be exposed to its toxicity and cost. HRD testing has become a routine part of ovarian cancer care as a result.
ECHELON-1 made a targeted antibody-drug conjugate part of first-line Hodgkin therapy and eventually showed that this saves lives, not just relapses. It set the reference arm against which nivolumab-AVD (SWOG S1826) and BrECADD (HD21) were later compared. Neuropathy is the main price and needs proactive dose modification.
Anyone diagnosed with advanced lung cancer should have EGFR testing before treatment, because osimertinib as the first drug gives the longest disease control, protects the brain, and is well tolerated. Chemotherapy is not the first step for these patients. The remaining questions are whether to intensify upfront (adding chemotherapy or amivantamab) and how to treat resistance when it develops.
Most patients with newly diagnosed advanced non-squamous lung cancer that lacks a targetable mutation should receive chemotherapy plus pembrolizumab; those with PD-L1 of 50% or more may reasonably receive pembrolizumab alone. About one in five patients is alive at five years, compared with roughly one in ten with chemotherapy alone. Patients with EGFR or ALK alterations were excluded and should have targeted therapy first.
MURANO made fixed-duration venetoclax the standard for relapsed CLL and showed that stopping therapy after a deep response is safe for most patients. It also established MRD at end of treatment as a practical guide to who is likely to stay in remission. Retreatment with venetoclax at relapse appears feasible.
Every woman diagnosed with advanced high-grade ovarian cancer should be tested for BRCA mutations at diagnosis, because those who carry one should receive two years of olaparib after chemotherapy, which greatly extends the time in remission and improves long-term survival. The plateau in the survival curves suggests some patients are cured by this approach. Toxicity is mostly anaemia, fatigue and nausea, and the two-year limit appears sufficient.
Patients with stage III lung cancer that cannot be removed surgically should receive a year of durvalumab after completing chemoradiotherapy, provided they have not progressed. This roughly doubles the chance of being alive without progression at five years. Whether the benefit extends to PD-L1-negative tumours is contested, and the EGFR-mutated subgroup is better served by osimertinib (LAURA).
A drug that shrinks tumours or delays progression on scans has not necessarily been shown to help patients live longer or better. Patients and clinicians should ask what the endpoint was; regulators should insist on timely confirmatory trials; and trialists should validate surrogates before relying on them.
IRIS made imatinib the first-line standard for CML worldwide and established the tyrosine kinase inhibitor as a chronic, life-long oral therapy. For most patients CML became a manageable condition with near-normal life expectancy. Later generations of TKIs (dasatinib, nilotinib, asciminib) produce faster, deeper responses but have not shown a survival advantage over imatinib.
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not linked directly; found by shared links- TermOverall survival (OS)
Shares Seamless phase 2/3 with pre-registered go rules as the default for new agents, Report time toxicity, the days a treatment consumes, in every trial and decision aid, Michael LeBlanc, Provisional prices for surrogate-endpoint approvals, reset when survival data arrive.
- TermLines of therapy
Shares Progressive disease and radiographic progression, Maintenance therapy, Progression, NAPOLI-3: NALIRIFOX versus gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel as first treatment for metastatic pancreatic cancer.
- TermObjective response rate (ORR)
Shares Require a randomised phase 2 before any phase 3, Duration of response (DoR) and disease control rate (DCR), Blinded independent central review (BICR), Duration of response.
- TermRECIST
Shares Validate real-world progression against central imaging review, Stable disease, Publish the disagreement between trial doctors and independent reviewers for every trial, Blinded independent central review (BICR).
- TermHazard ratio (HR)
Shares Michael LeBlanc, Landmark and milestone survival (5-year survival, median follow-up), Publish the disagreement between trial doctors and independent reviewers for every trial, Median survival.
- BottleneckPrices and value
Shares Provisional prices for surrogate-endpoint approvals, reset when survival data arrive, Launch prices indexed to the ESMO benefit scale, revisited when survival matures, Power trials to detect a benefit patients would value, not the smallest detectable one, IRIS: imatinib versus interferon plus cytarabine as first treatment for chronic myeloid leukaemia.
- TermAccelerated approval
Shares Provisional prices for surrogate-endpoint approvals, reset when survival data arrive, Duration of response (DoR) and disease control rate (DCR), Duration of response, Surrogate endpoint.
- CompanyAstraZeneca
Shares ADRIATIC: durvalumab after chemoradiotherapy for limited-stage small-cell lung cancer, ELEVATE-TN: acalabrutinib, alone or with obinutuzumab, against chemo-immunotherapy in untreated CLL, PACIFIC: a year of durvalumab after chemoradiotherapy for stage III lung cancer, AMPLIFY: fixed-duration acalabrutinib plus venetoclax, with or without obinutuzumab, versus chemo-immunotherapy in fit CLL patients.