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termsTerm

Landmark and milestone survival (5-year survival, median follow-up)

aka landmark analysis, milestone survival, milestone analysis, 5-year survival, five-year survival, 5-year OS, 5-year PFS, 5-year survival rate, 10-year survival, 2-year survival, 3-year survival, 1-year survival, survival rate, survival rates, median follow-up, median follow up, long-term survival, long-term survivors, tail of the curve, Kaplan-Meier, Kaplan–Meier, survival curve, survival curves, curves separate, curves cross, restricted mean survival time, RMST

The percentage of patients alive (or progression-free) at a fixed time point such as 2, 5 or 10 years, read off a Kaplan-Meier survival curve. With immunotherapy the 'tail of the curve', the fraction still alive years later, often matters more than the median.

Kaplan-Meier curves show the proportion of patients event-free over time; the median is the point where the curve crosses 50%, and landmark rates are read at fixed times. Medians can mislead when curves plateau (a durable tail after checkpoint inhibitors or CAR-T) or cross (delayed immunotherapy benefit), so milestone rates and restricted mean survival time supplement hazard ratios. Landmark analyses also compare outcomes from a fixed time conditional on status at that time (e.g. survival by MRD status at 12 months), avoiding immortal-time bias. Median follow-up indicates how mature the data are; 5-year rates need at least 5 years of follow-up in a reasonable number of patients to be reliable.

Category
Trials & regulation

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