OnCo
ideasIdea

Ban commercial sunbeds

Sunbeds cause melanoma, especially when used young. Australia and Brazil have banned them. Other countries should follow and measure the effect.

IARC classifies UV tanning devices as Group 1 carcinogens and Australia banned commercial sunbeds in 2015-16. Propose bans in remaining high-use countries (much of Europe, the US) with pre-planned evaluation of melanoma incidence in under-40s.

Hypothesis
A commercial sunbed ban reduces melanoma incidence in adults under 40 by at least 10% within 15 years.
Rationale
Strong causal evidence, policy precedent, and negligible cost.
What would test it
Run an interrupted time series against non-adopting comparators.
Maturity
being tested at scale
Who has to act
policy
Cost to try
Small (under $1M)
Years to first evidence
10
Bottlenecks it attacks

Connected

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