OnCo
ideasIdea

Randomise at least two doses in phase 2 before any pivotal trial

Cancer drugs are usually tested at the highest dose patients can stand, and that dose sticks for life. Comparing two or more doses head-to-head before the big trial would find doses that work as well with fewer side effects.

Following FDA's Project Optimus, sponsors run randomised parallel-dose cohorts (typically two or three doses spanning the exposure-response range) in phase 2 with efficacy, tolerability and PK endpoints, before selecting the dose for registrational trials. Precedent: the post-approval randomised comparison of sotorasib 960 mg versus 240 mg, which found similar efficacy. The proposal makes randomised dose comparison the expectation, with regulators declining to accept single-dose pivotal trials for targeted agents without it.

Hypothesis
Agents with randomised dose comparison will be approved at lower doses than their maximum tolerated dose in a substantial fraction of cases, with lower rates of dose reduction and discontinuation in real-world use, and without loss of efficacy.
Rationale
Targeted agents and biologics often plateau in efficacy well below the maximum tolerated dose; MTD-based dosing is a legacy of cytotoxics. Dose reductions after approval are frequent and costly.
What would test it
Compare real-world dose-reduction and discontinuation rates for agents approved after randomised dose comparison versus contemporaneous agents approved at MTD.
Maturity
being tested at scale
Who has to act
regulator
Cost to try
Medium ($1M to $50M)
Years to first evidence
3
Bottlenecks it attacks

Key papers

1top

Connected

5top