OnCo
ideasIdea

Pay insurers and health systems for cancers prevented and caught early

Health systems earn from treating cancer, not preventing it. Paying them for lower cancer incidence and earlier stage in their population would flip the incentive.

Capitated systems could receive outcome payments tied to population-level stage distribution, HPV vaccination coverage, and smoking prevalence, adjusted for risk. Propose a payer pilot with a prevention outcomes bundle.

Hypothesis
Outcome payments raise screening and vaccination coverage by at least 10 points and shift stage at diagnosis toward stage I-II by at least 5 points within five years.
Rationale
Fee-for-service rewards volume; outcome-based contracts change behaviour in other areas of care.
What would test it
Pilot in a capitated system (a Medicare Advantage plan or NHS integrated care board).
Maturity
speculative
Who has to act
payer
Cost to try
Medium ($1M to $50M)
Years to first evidence
5
Bottlenecks it attacks

Connected

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