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CheckMate 9ER

Nivolumab with cabozantinib doubled progression-free survival versus sunitinib and lengthened life, with quality of life preserved.

PFS 16.6 vs 8.3 months (HR 0.51); OS HR 0.60 initially, 0.77 at final 4-year analysis (median 46.5 vs 36.0 months). FDA approval January 2021. Cabozantinib's MET/AXL activity is a proposed contributor.

Setting
Untreated advanced clear-cell RCC: nivolumab + cabozantinib vs sunitinib
Phase
Phase 3
Sponsor
BMS / Exelixis
Registry
Headline result
PFS HR 0.51; OS HR 0.77 at ~4 years (46.5 vs 36.0 months).
Reported
2020
Enrolled
651
Replication
Consistent with other IO-TKI doublets; COSMIC-313 (adding cabozantinib to nivolumab-ipilimumab) improved PFS but not OS.

Outcomes

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In plain words
What these results mean for people, not percentages
651 people took part
Progression-free survivalprimarysurrogate endpoint
  • Median 16.6 vs 8.3 months with Nivolumab + cabozantinib compared with Sunitinib; about 8.3 months longer for half the group.
  • A median is a midpoint: half the people did better than this and half did worse, so it is not a prediction for any one person.
  • Put another way, the treated group had about 49 percent lower chance of the event at any given time (hazard ratio 0.51, likely range 0.41 to 0.64).
  • This is a surrogate endpoint: it measures the cancer being controlled or absent on scans and tests, which often, but not always, translates into living longer.
Overall survival (final)survival endpoint
  • Median 46.5 vs 36 months with Nivolumab + cabozantinib compared with Sunitinib; about 10.5 months longer for half the group.
  • A median is a midpoint: half the people did better than this and half did worse, so it is not a prediction for any one person.
  • Put another way, the treated group had about 23 percent lower chance of the event at any given time (hazard ratio 0.77, likely range 0.63 to 0.95).
  • Overall survival counts deaths from any cause, so it is the most direct measure of whether a treatment helps people live longer.
Be careful
  • These results apply to the people the trial enrolled: Untreated advanced clear-cell RCC: nivolumab + cabozantinib vs sunitinib. People in a different situation may not see the same effect.

Numbers are from the trial as recorded here; see the source links in the table below. This is orientation, not medical advice: ask your team how closely the trial population matches you.

651 participants enrolled.

Progression-free survivalprimary
HR 0.51 (0.41–0.64)
Nivolumab + cabozantinib
16.6 mo
Sunitinib
8.3 mo
Source
Overall survival (final)
HR 0.77 (0.63–0.95)
Nivolumab + cabozantinib
46.5 mo
Sunitinib
36 mo
EndpointArmnValueHR (95% CI)pSource
Progression-free survivalprimaryNivolumab + cabozantinib32316.6 months0.51 (0.41–0.64)link
Sunitinib3288.3 months
Overall survival (final)Nivolumab + cabozantinib46.5 months0.77 (0.63–0.95)
Sunitinib36 months
Replication
Consistent with other IO-TKI doublets; COSMIC-313 (adding cabozantinib to nivolumab-ipilimumab) improved PFS but not OS.

Connected

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