OnCo
ideasIdea

Continuous prospective validation for every oncology AI tool after deployment

Cancer AI tools are approved on old test data and then never checked again. Require every deployed tool to report its real-world performance continuously, in public.

Radiology, pathology and prognostic AI tools in oncology are cleared on retrospective datasets; performance drifts with scanners, populations and practice, and post-market surveillance is minimal. The proposal is a regulatory requirement and shared infrastructure: every deployed oncology AI tool feeds outcome-linked performance metrics to a registry, stratified by site and demographic group, with public dashboards, drift alerts and pre-agreed thresholds for suspension, harmonised across regulators.

Hypothesis
Continuous validation detects clinically significant performance degradation in a meaningful share of deployed tools within two years and raises clinician trust and adoption of tools that perform well.
Rationale
Pharmacovigilance is standard for drugs; algorithms change performance more readily and silently, and a shared registry spreads the cost.
What would test it
Pilot registry across three tool categories in ten hospitals; measure detection of drift, time to corrective action, and comparison of registry performance with cleared claims.
Maturity
early clinical
Who has to act
regulator
Cost to try
Medium ($1M to $50M)
Years to first evidence
3
Bottlenecks it attacks

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